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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place

icon for South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place

Ralph Norman 100.0%

Darline Graham Nordone <1%

Russell Fry <1%

Mark Lynch <1%

Polymarket

$92,487 Vol.

Ralph Norman 100.0%

Darline Graham Nordone <1%

Russell Fry <1%

Mark Lynch <1%

Polymarket

$92,487 Vol.

icon for Ralph Norman

Ralph Norman

$53,721 Vol.

100%

icon for Darline Graham Nordone

Darline Graham Nordone

$11,902 Vol.

<1%

icon for Russell Fry

Russell Fry

$14,852 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Lynch

Mark Lynch

$5,228 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Sanford

Mark Sanford

$2,690 Vol.

<1%

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Ralph Norman secured a strong second-place finish in South Carolina’s August 11 special Republican primary for the U.S. Senate seat, behind appointed Sen. Darline Graham, as vote tallies showed him ahead of Rep. Russell Fry and other contenders including former Gov. Mark Sanford. His positioning stems from established name recognition across Upstate congressional districts, consistent conservative messaging on fiscal issues, and vote fragmentation among the crowded field of ten candidates that prevented any single rival from consolidating enough support. Trader consensus reflects these primary results, with Norman at near-certainty for second place. Late certification adjustments or recount challenges remain theoretically possible but face high procedural barriers given the projected margins and rapid counting.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$92,487
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Ralph Norman secured a strong second-place finish in South Carolina’s August 11 special Republican primary for the U.S. Senate seat, behind appointed Sen. Darline Graham, as vote tallies showed him ahead of Rep. Russell Fry and other contenders including former Gov. Mark Sanford. His positioning stems from established name recognition across Upstate congressional districts, consistent conservative messaging on fiscal issues, and vote fragmentation among the crowded field of ten candidates that prevented any single rival from consolidating enough support. Trader consensus reflects these primary results, with Norman at near-certainty for second place. Late certification adjustments or recount challenges remain theoretically possible but face high procedural barriers given the projected margins and rapid counting.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$92,487
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Kaugnay

icon for Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

100%
icon for First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

<1%
icon for Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary by 5–10%?

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary by 5–10%?

54%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Ralph Norman" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Darline Graham Nordone" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place" ay naka-generate ng $92.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 30, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place" ay "Ralph Norman" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Darline Graham Nordone" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.