Strong semiconductor exports and April's 48% year-over-year trade surge have anchored trader consensus around South Korea's Q2 2026 GDP growth in the 3.5–4.4% range, where combined implied probabilities exceed 100% across overlapping buckets. The Bank of Korea's 3.6% Q1 YoY reading—the strongest in five years—stemmed from AI-driven chip demand and 5.1% export expansion, prompting upward revisions from institutions including JP Morgan to 3.0% and KDI to 2.5% for full-year 2026. Counterbalancing factors such as April's modest 74,000 employment gain and 2.6% inflation highlight subdued domestic consumption, sustaining support for lower bands near 1.5–2.9%. Fresh May trade figures and global tech order data ahead of the July 28 advance release will likely shape whether momentum sustains these mid-3% to low-4% outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSouth Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?
3.0–3.4% 43%
2.5–2.9% 36.4%
2.0–2.4% 21%
<1.5% 19.1%
BAGO
BAGO
Jul 23, 2026
<1.5%
19%
1.5–1.9%
18%
2.0–2.4%
21%
2.5–2.9%
36%
3.0–3.4%
24%
3.5–3.9%
60%
4.0–4.4%
49%
4.5%+
25%
3.0–3.4% 43%
2.5–2.9% 36.4%
2.0–2.4% 21%
<1.5% 19.1%
BAGO
BAGO
Jul 23, 2026
<1.5%
$278 Vol.
19%
1.5–1.9%
$184 Vol.
18%
2.0–2.4%
$351 Vol.
21%
2.5–2.9%
$161 Vol.
36%
3.0–3.4%
$154 Vol.
24%
3.5–3.9%
$319 Vol.
60%
4.0–4.4%
$276 Vol.
49%
4.5%+
$238 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01Strong semiconductor exports and April's 48% year-over-year trade surge have anchored trader consensus around South Korea's Q2 2026 GDP growth in the 3.5–4.4% range, where combined implied probabilities exceed 100% across overlapping buckets. The Bank of Korea's 3.6% Q1 YoY reading—the strongest in five years—stemmed from AI-driven chip demand and 5.1% export expansion, prompting upward revisions from institutions including JP Morgan to 3.0% and KDI to 2.5% for full-year 2026. Counterbalancing factors such as April's modest 74,000 employment gain and 2.6% inflation highlight subdued domestic consumption, sustaining support for lower bands near 1.5–2.9%. Fresh May trade figures and global tech order data ahead of the July 28 advance release will likely shape whether momentum sustains these mid-3% to low-4% outcomes.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,961Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01Strong semiconductor exports and April's 48% year-over-year trade surge have anchored trader consensus around South Korea's Q2 2026 GDP growth in the 3.5–4.4% range, where combined implied probabilities exceed 100% across overlapping buckets. The Bank of Korea's 3.6% Q1 YoY reading—the strongest in five years—stemmed from AI-driven chip demand and 5.1% export expansion, prompting upward revisions from institutions including JP Morgan to 3.0% and KDI to 2.5% for full-year 2026. Counterbalancing factors such as April's modest 74,000 employment gain and 2.6% inflation highlight subdued domestic consumption, sustaining support for lower bands near 1.5–2.9%. Fresh May trade figures and global tech order data ahead of the July 28 advance release will likely shape whether momentum sustains these mid-3% to low-4% outcomes.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
Volume
$1,961Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong semiconductor exports and April's 48% year-over-year trade surge have anchored trader consensus around South Korea's Q2 2026 GDP growth in the 3.5–4.4% range, where combined implied probabilities exceed 100% across overlapping buckets. The Bank of Korea's 3.6% Q1 YoY reading—the strongest in five years—stemmed from AI-driven chip demand and 5.1% export expansion, prompting upward revisions from institutions including JP Morgan to 3.0% and KDI to 2.5% for full-year 2026. Counterbalancing factors such as April's modest 74,000 employment gain and 2.6% inflation highlight subdued domestic consumption, sustaining support for lower bands near 1.5–2.9%. Fresh May trade figures and global tech order data ahead of the July 28 advance release will likely shape whether momentum sustains these mid-3% to low-4% outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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