Trump’s approval rating has remained near second-term lows around 35-40 percent in early June polls, held steady by persistent economic concerns tied to the Iran conflict and expectations of higher gasoline prices. This stability has kept the weekly “up or down” market tightly balanced near even odds, as traders see limited short-term catalysts capable of producing a clear directional shift. Recent Reuters/Ipsos and other surveys through June 8 showed no meaningful movement from prior readings, reflecting the absence of major new policy announcements or diplomatic breakthroughs in the past week. Scheduled economic data releases, any fresh developments in Middle East diplomacy, or high-visibility administration actions could still alter the trajectory before the week closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUp
Up
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 12, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s approval rating has remained near second-term lows around 35-40 percent in early June polls, held steady by persistent economic concerns tied to the Iran conflict and expectations of higher gasoline prices. This stability has kept the weekly “up or down” market tightly balanced near even odds, as traders see limited short-term catalysts capable of producing a clear directional shift. Recent Reuters/Ipsos and other surveys through June 8 showed no meaningful movement from prior readings, reflecting the absence of major new policy announcements or diplomatic breakthroughs in the past week. Scheduled economic data releases, any fresh developments in Middle East diplomacy, or high-visibility administration actions could still alter the trajectory before the week closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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