Recent July final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 55.2, up from June’s 49.5 amid easing gasoline prices after earlier geopolitical pressures, sets the baseline for the August 14 preliminary release. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 52.0–57.9 range because traders weigh the durability of that rebound against persistent inflation concerns, with year-ahead expectations still elevated near 4.2 percent and overall readings remaining well below historical averages. Mixed labor-market signals and potential near-term reacceleration in price views create balanced probabilities, as participants assess whether macro tailwinds or lingering cost-of-living fatigue will shape early-August survey responses. The August preliminary serves as the immediate catalyst.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update55.0–57.9 32%
52.0–54.9 32%
49.0–51.9 17%
58.0–60.9 6.5%
$15,635 Vol.
$15,635 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<49.0
<1%
49.0–51.9
17%
52.0–54.9
32%
55.0–57.9
32%
58.0–60.9
6%
61.0–63.9
4%
64.0+
2%
55.0–57.9 32%
52.0–54.9 32%
49.0–51.9 17%
58.0–60.9 6.5%
$15,635 Vol.
$15,635 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<49.0
$578 Vol.
<1%
49.0–51.9
$1,096 Vol.
17%
52.0–54.9
$9,707 Vol.
32%
55.0–57.9
$2,430 Vol.
32%
58.0–60.9
$918 Vol.
6%
61.0–63.9
$436 Vol.
4%
64.0+
$471 Vol.
2%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 55.2, up from June’s 49.5 amid easing gasoline prices after earlier geopolitical pressures, sets the baseline for the August 14 preliminary release. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 52.0–57.9 range because traders weigh the durability of that rebound against persistent inflation concerns, with year-ahead expectations still elevated near 4.2 percent and overall readings remaining well below historical averages. Mixed labor-market signals and potential near-term reacceleration in price views create balanced probabilities, as participants assess whether macro tailwinds or lingering cost-of-living fatigue will shape early-August survey responses. The August preliminary serves as the immediate catalyst.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$15,635Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 28, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 55.2, up from June’s 49.5 amid easing gasoline prices after earlier geopolitical pressures, sets the baseline for the August 14 preliminary release. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 52.0–57.9 range because traders weigh the durability of that rebound against persistent inflation concerns, with year-ahead expectations still elevated near 4.2 percent and overall readings remaining well below historical averages. Mixed labor-market signals and potential near-term reacceleration in price views create balanced probabilities, as participants assess whether macro tailwinds or lingering cost-of-living fatigue will shape early-August survey responses. The August preliminary serves as the immediate catalyst.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$15,635Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 28, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 55.2, up from June’s 49.5 amid easing gasoline prices after earlier geopolitical pressures, sets the baseline for the August 14 preliminary release. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 52.0–57.9 range because traders weigh the durability of that rebound against persistent inflation concerns, with year-ahead expectations still elevated near 4.2 percent and overall readings remaining well below historical averages. Mixed labor-market signals and potential near-term reacceleration in price views create balanced probabilities, as participants assess whether macro tailwinds or lingering cost-of-living fatigue will shape early-August survey responses. The August preliminary serves as the immediate catalyst.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong