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Ekonomiya·Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?

icon for What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?
Ekonomiya·Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?

$339k - $342k 73%

<$339k 20%

$342k - $345k 9%

$345k - $348k 8%

Polymarket
BAGO

$339k - $342k 73%

<$339k 20%

$342k - $345k 9%

$345k - $348k 8%

Polymarket
BAGO

<$339k

$264 Vol.

19%

$339k - $342k

$750 Vol.

73%

$342k - $345k

$270 Vol.

9%

$345k - $348k

$194 Vol.

8%

$348k - $351k

$220 Vol.

3%

$351k - $354k

$258 Vol.

<1%

>$354k

$492 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Recent Chicago housing data, including Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326,000 as of late May 2026 with 3.5% year-over-year gains, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $339k–$342k range at 26.5%. Persistent low inventory, 4–6% annual price growth across Redfin and Realtor.com reports, and elevated mortgage rates near 6% have tempered acceleration, leaving the outcome contested between modest June gains and potential seasonal softening. Key swing factors include any final pre-resolution sales figures or index updates that could shift the median by a few thousand dollars, with traders weighting the narrow band heavily due to the resolution date’s proximity.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Volume
$2,447
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Recent Chicago housing data, including Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326,000 as of late May 2026 with 3.5% year-over-year gains, underpin the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $339k–$342k range at 26.5%. Persistent low inventory, 4–6% annual price growth across Redfin and Realtor.com reports, and elevated mortgage rates near 6% have tempered acceleration, leaving the outcome contested between modest June gains and potential seasonal softening. Key swing factors include any final pre-resolution sales figures or index updates that could shift the median by a few thousand dollars, with traders weighting the narrow band heavily due to the resolution date’s proximity.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Volume
$2,447
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "$339k - $342k" sa 73%, sinusundan ng "<$339k" sa 19%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 73¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 73% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jun 3, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?" ay "$339k - $342k" sa 73%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 73% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "<$339k" sa 19%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.