Stalled progress after the unsuccessful high-level US-Iran talks in Islamabad in mid-April 2026 has positioned no meeting by June 30 as the leading trader consensus outcome. Pakistan's ongoing mediation role, including its brokering of the extended ceasefire and recent diplomatic outreach by Iranian officials to Islamabad, sustains its strong implied probability as the next venue. Mixed signals from both sides on framework proposals and nuclear issues, combined with US focus on regional security priorities, have slowed momentum toward a new round. This dynamic reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in continued indirect channels over rapid direct engagement elsewhere.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSaan magaganap ang susunod na diplomatikong pagpupulong ng US - Iran?
Walang Pagpupulong bago Hunyo 30 51.0%
Pakistan 37.1%
Switzerland 3.1%
Iba pa 2.8%
$6,452,577 Vol.
$6,452,577 Vol.
Walang Pagpupulong bago Hunyo 30
51%
Pakistan
37%
Switzerland
3%
Iba pa
3%
Oman
1%
Qatar
1%
USA
1%
Austria
1%
Ehipto
<1%
Turkey
<1%
Italya
<1%
Iran
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Iba pa - Gitnang Silangan/Hilagang Aprika
<1%
Iba pa - Europa
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Rusya
<1%
UAE
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Walang Pagpupulong bago Hunyo 30 51.0%
Pakistan 37.1%
Switzerland 3.1%
Iba pa 2.8%
$6,452,577 Vol.
$6,452,577 Vol.
Walang Pagpupulong bago Hunyo 30
51%
Pakistan
37%
Switzerland
3%
Iba pa
3%
Oman
1%
Qatar
1%
USA
1%
Austria
1%
Ehipto
<1%
Turkey
<1%
Italya
<1%
Iran
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Iba pa - Gitnang Silangan/Hilagang Aprika
<1%
Iba pa - Europa
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Rusya
<1%
UAE
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Stalled progress after the unsuccessful high-level US-Iran talks in Islamabad in mid-April 2026 has positioned no meeting by June 30 as the leading trader consensus outcome. Pakistan's ongoing mediation role, including its brokering of the extended ceasefire and recent diplomatic outreach by Iranian officials to Islamabad, sustains its strong implied probability as the next venue. Mixed signals from both sides on framework proposals and nuclear issues, combined with US focus on regional security priorities, have slowed momentum toward a new round. This dynamic reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in continued indirect channels over rapid direct engagement elsewhere.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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