OpenAI's commanding lead in the AI revenue market for the week of May 11–17 stems from its unmatched scale in large language model deployments, with ChatGPT maintaining hundreds of millions of active users and robust API demand driving consistent weekly inflows that outpace most rivals. Traders see this dominance as reinforced by ongoing enterprise licensing growth and the absence of any major competitive breakthrough from Google’s Gemini or Anthropic’s Claude in the immediate period. While the 98.9% implied probability reflects broad consensus backed by real capital, a sudden regulatory action, an unexpected surge in Google Cloud AI usage, or a high-profile model release from Anthropic could still shift the ranking before final revenue figures are tallied.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?
OpenAI 98.9%
Google <1%
Anthropic <1%
Z.ai <1%
$28,159 Vol.
$28,159 Vol.
OpenAI
99%
1%
Anthropic
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
xAI
<1%
OpenAI 98.9%
Google <1%
Anthropic <1%
Z.ai <1%
$28,159 Vol.
$28,159 Vol.
OpenAI
99%
1%
Anthropic
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
xAI
<1%
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Binuksan ang Market: May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's commanding lead in the AI revenue market for the week of May 11–17 stems from its unmatched scale in large language model deployments, with ChatGPT maintaining hundreds of millions of active users and robust API demand driving consistent weekly inflows that outpace most rivals. Traders see this dominance as reinforced by ongoing enterprise licensing growth and the absence of any major competitive breakthrough from Google’s Gemini or Anthropic’s Claude in the immediate period. While the 98.9% implied probability reflects broad consensus backed by real capital, a sudden regulatory action, an unexpected surge in Google Cloud AI usage, or a high-profile model release from Anthropic could still shift the ranking before final revenue figures are tallied.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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