Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on Anthropic leading the math AI category by end of May, reflecting its recent Claude model updates that deliver standout results on complex mathematical reasoning benchmarks and chain-of-thought tasks. This positioning stems from consistent outperformance against competitors in areas like advanced problem-solving and proof verification, where large language models from Google and OpenAI trail slightly in current evaluations. The tight but secondary shares for Google and OpenAI capture ongoing advances in their Gemini and GPT reasoning systems, yet these have not shifted consensus enough to close the gap. With resolution approaching in roughly two weeks, any fresh capability demonstrations or benchmark releases could still influence final trader positioning in this fast-moving AI landscape.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich company has the best Math AI model end of May?
Anthropic 71%
Google 16%
OpenAI 12%
xAI <1%
$120,918 Vol.
$120,918 Vol.

Anthropic
71%

16%

OpenAI
12%

xAI
1%

ByteDance
1%

Z.ai
1%

DeepSeek
1%

Meta
1%

Baidu
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 71%
Google 16%
OpenAI 12%
xAI <1%
$120,918 Vol.
$120,918 Vol.

Anthropic
71%

16%

OpenAI
12%

xAI
1%

ByteDance
1%

Z.ai
1%

DeepSeek
1%

Meta
1%

Baidu
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have placed the strongest implied probability on Anthropic leading the math AI category by end of May, reflecting its recent Claude model updates that deliver standout results on complex mathematical reasoning benchmarks and chain-of-thought tasks. This positioning stems from consistent outperformance against competitors in areas like advanced problem-solving and proof verification, where large language models from Google and OpenAI trail slightly in current evaluations. The tight but secondary shares for Google and OpenAI capture ongoing advances in their Gemini and GPT reasoning systems, yet these have not shifted consensus enough to close the gap. With resolution approaching in roughly two weeks, any fresh capability demonstrations or benchmark releases could still influence final trader positioning in this fast-moving AI landscape.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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