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Teknolohiya·Negosyo

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

icon for Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?
Teknolohiya·Negosyo

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Jun 30

Jun 30

$110,669 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$110,669 Vol.

Polymarket
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Railbird

$11,032 Vol.

54%

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Aristotle

$18,193 Vol.

52%

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Small Exchange

$1,501 Vol.

28%

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The Clearing Company

$3,601 Vol.

7%

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ICE

$31,085 Vol.

6%

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ForecastEx

$10,859 Vol.

5%

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CBOE

$3,189 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent CFTC Staff Advisory 26-08 from March 2026 has clarified self-certification standards under Regulation 40.2 for sports event contracts, emphasizing pre-filing engagement with leagues, manipulation risk analysis, and use of official data sources. This guidance follows the agency's February withdrawal of its broader event-contracts rulemaking, reducing prior uncertainty and enabling designated contract markets to proceed with filings. CME Group has already completed a qualifying self-certification, driving strong market consensus around its position ahead of the June 30, 2026 deadline, while other DCMs such as Railbird and Aristotle weigh competitive positioning and compliance costs. Traders are monitoring any additional filings or CFTC stays as key catalysts that could shift sentiment before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$110,669
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 1, 2026, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent CFTC Staff Advisory 26-08 from March 2026 has clarified self-certification standards under Regulation 40.2 for sports event contracts, emphasizing pre-filing engagement with leagues, manipulation risk analysis, and use of official data sources. This guidance follows the agency's February withdrawal of its broader event-contracts rulemaking, reducing prior uncertainty and enabling designated contract markets to proceed with filings. CME Group has already completed a qualifying self-certification, driving strong market consensus around its position ahead of the June 30, 2026 deadline, while other DCMs such as Railbird and Aristotle weigh competitive positioning and compliance costs. Traders are monitoring any additional filings or CFTC stays as key catalysts that could shift sentiment before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$110,669
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 1, 2026, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "CME" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "LedgerX" sa 100%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" ay naka-generate ng $110.7K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 1, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" ay "CME" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "LedgerX" sa 100%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.