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Ekonomiya·AAA

Will gas hit __ by end of August?

icon for Will gas hit __ by end of August?
Ekonomiya·AAA

Will gas hit __ by end of August?

Aug 31

Aug 31

BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$8,884 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$2,364 Vol.

3%

↑ $4.75

$297 Vol.

2%

↑ $4.50

$2,105 Vol.

12%

↑ $4.25

$1,585 Vol.

18%

↓ $3.90

$487 Vol.

19%

↓ $3.70

$1,502 Vol.

9%

↓ $3.50

$155 Vol.

5%

↓ $3.25

$18 Vol.

3%

↓ $3.00

$133 Vol.

6%

↓ $2.50

$239 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. retail gasoline prices, currently averaging $4.07 per gallon nationally as of mid-August 2026, remain supported by Brent crude near $85 per barrel amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty around key supply routes. Record seasonal demand, tight refinery margins, and elevated crude benchmarks have driven recent weekly gains despite ample inventories. The EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook projects modest softening in Q3 amid higher production, yet near-term volatility hinges on crude futures, weekly inventory data, and any escalation in tensions that could push pump prices above recent highs before month-end resolution. Trader focus centers on these macro and supply dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$8,884
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://gasprices.aaa.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. retail gasoline prices, currently averaging $4.07 per gallon nationally as of mid-August 2026, remain supported by Brent crude near $85 per barrel amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty around key supply routes. Record seasonal demand, tight refinery margins, and elevated crude benchmarks have driven recent weekly gains despite ample inventories. The EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook projects modest softening in Q3 amid higher production, yet near-term volatility hinges on crude futures, weekly inventory data, and any escalation in tensions that could push pump prices above recent highs before month-end resolution. Trader focus centers on these macro and supply dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$8,884
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://gasprices.aaa.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Kaugnay

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Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

17%
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Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?

42%
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Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?

39%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will gas hit __ by end of August?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "↓ $3.90" sa 19%, sinusundan ng "↑ $4.25" sa 18%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 19¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 19% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Will gas hit __ by end of August?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jul 29, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Will gas hit __ by end of August?," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Will gas hit __ by end of August?" ay "↓ $3.90" sa 19%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 19% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "↑ $4.25" sa 18%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will gas hit __ by end of August?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.