Tropical Storm Odalys, currently at 40-45 kt with a poorly defined center and persistent northerly vertical wind shear, faces a closely balanced outlook for reaching hurricane strength (64 kt) on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Official National Hurricane Center guidance projects gradual intensification to 55-65 kt by mid-week as shear relaxes over warm sea-surface temperatures and moist air, yet recent satellite imagery shows limited convective organization that could delay or prevent threshold crossing. Key uncertainties include the timing and magnitude of shear reduction, model spread in intensity guidance, and whether the storm maintains a well-defined circulation amid steering influences from a nearby mid-level trough. Fresh satellite passes, updated Decay-SHIPS and HCCA runs, and the next NHC discussion will provide decisive data on these variables.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateTropical Storm Odalys strengthens to a hurricane?
Tropical Storm Odalys strengthens to a hurricane?
58% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 30, 2026
58% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tropical Storm Odalys reaches hurricane strength at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Odalys reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center.
Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
If Odalys does not reach hurricane strength by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No". If the National Hurricane Center has not published any data by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Odalys is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.Tropical Storm Odalys, currently at 40-45 kt with a poorly defined center and persistent northerly vertical wind shear, faces a closely balanced outlook for reaching hurricane strength (64 kt) on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Official National Hurricane Center guidance projects gradual intensification to 55-65 kt by mid-week as shear relaxes over warm sea-surface temperatures and moist air, yet recent satellite imagery shows limited convective organization that could delay or prevent threshold crossing. Key uncertainties include the timing and magnitude of shear reduction, model spread in intensity guidance, and whether the storm maintains a well-defined circulation amid steering influences from a nearby mid-level trough. Fresh satellite passes, updated Decay-SHIPS and HCCA runs, and the next NHC discussion will provide decisive data on these variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tropical Storm Odalys reaches hurricane strength at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Odalys reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center.
Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
If Odalys does not reach hurricane strength by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No". If the National Hurricane Center has not published any data by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Odalys is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.
Odalys reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center.
Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
If Odalys does not reach hurricane strength by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No". If the National Hurricane Center has not published any data by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Odalys is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 21, 2026, 10:49 AM ET
Volume
$3Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 21, 2026, 10:49 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tropical Storm Odalys reaches hurricane strength at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Odalys reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center.
Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
If Odalys does not reach hurricane strength by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No". If the National Hurricane Center has not published any data by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Odalys is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.Tropical Storm Odalys, currently at 40-45 kt with a poorly defined center and persistent northerly vertical wind shear, faces a closely balanced outlook for reaching hurricane strength (64 kt) on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Official National Hurricane Center guidance projects gradual intensification to 55-65 kt by mid-week as shear relaxes over warm sea-surface temperatures and moist air, yet recent satellite imagery shows limited convective organization that could delay or prevent threshold crossing. Key uncertainties include the timing and magnitude of shear reduction, model spread in intensity guidance, and whether the storm maintains a well-defined circulation amid steering influences from a nearby mid-level trough. Fresh satellite passes, updated Decay-SHIPS and HCCA runs, and the next NHC discussion will provide decisive data on these variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tropical Storm Odalys reaches hurricane strength at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Odalys reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center.
Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
If Odalys does not reach hurricane strength by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No". If the National Hurricane Center has not published any data by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Odalys is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.
Odalys reaches hurricane strength if it attains a maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average) of at least 74 mph, corresponding to Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, as reported by the National Hurricane Center.
Reaching hurricane strength at any single advisory during the market's timeframe is sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of the storm's intensity at other times.
If Odalys does not reach hurricane strength by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or dissipates before reaching hurricane strength, this market will resolve to "No". If the National Hurricane Center has not published any data by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the operational advisory data issued while the storm is active. Any revisions to the storm's peak intensity or category published later in a post-storm best-track report or Tropical Cyclone Report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the operational advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If Odalys is located outside the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility, the maximum sustained wind speed reported by the responsible Regional Specialized Meteorological Center will be used.
Volume
$3Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 21, 2026, 10:49 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tropical Storm Odalys, currently at 40-45 kt with a poorly defined center and persistent northerly vertical wind shear, faces a closely balanced outlook for reaching hurricane strength (64 kt) on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Official National Hurricane Center guidance projects gradual intensification to 55-65 kt by mid-week as shear relaxes over warm sea-surface temperatures and moist air, yet recent satellite imagery shows limited convective organization that could delay or prevent threshold crossing. Key uncertainties include the timing and magnitude of shear reduction, model spread in intensity guidance, and whether the storm maintains a well-defined circulation amid steering influences from a nearby mid-level trough. Fresh satellite passes, updated Decay-SHIPS and HCCA runs, and the next NHC discussion will provide decisive data on these variables.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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