Recent forecast models and real-time observations from sources such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate a daytime maximum in Warsaw likely to reach 15–16°C, driven by persistent low-level cloud cover, light westerly winds around 15–25 km/h, and scattered showers that limit solar heating and radiative warming. These conditions have kept surface temperatures several degrees below what might occur under clearer skies, with hourly readings climbing from morning lows near 11°C to afternoon peaks in the mid-teens. Model consensus across GFS and ECMWF runs shows limited upward potential unless breaks in cloud allow brief additional warming, while the market’s close spread between 15°C and 16°C reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of any clearing before sunset. Final official maximum readings will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 21?
15°C 43%
16°C 34%
14°C 20%
13°C 3%
$25,194 Vol.
$25,194 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
20%
15°C
43%
16°C
34%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 43%
16°C 34%
14°C 20%
13°C 3%
$25,194 Vol.
$25,194 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
20%
15°C
43%
16°C
34%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models and real-time observations from sources such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate a daytime maximum in Warsaw likely to reach 15–16°C, driven by persistent low-level cloud cover, light westerly winds around 15–25 km/h, and scattered showers that limit solar heating and radiative warming. These conditions have kept surface temperatures several degrees below what might occur under clearer skies, with hourly readings climbing from morning lows near 11°C to afternoon peaks in the mid-teens. Model consensus across GFS and ECMWF runs shows limited upward potential unless breaks in cloud allow brief additional warming, while the market’s close spread between 15°C and 16°C reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of any clearing before sunset. Final official maximum readings will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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