Recent Democratic calls for impeachment, fueled by the April 2026 escalation in the Iran conflict and related executive actions, have intensified pressure on House Republicans. With control of the chamber currently resting narrowly with the GOP, traders assign a 64 percent probability that President Trump faces articles of impeachment before January 2029 largely because a Democratic House majority after the November 2026 midterms would likely advance such measures. Multiple resolutions have already been introduced, and historical patterns show that opposition parties routinely pursue impeachment inquiries once they hold the gavel. Senate conviction remains improbable given current partisan margins, yet the lower House threshold alone sustains the elevated odds. Scheduled midterms and any further policy flashpoints could shift these dynamics before resolution.