Democrats hold favorable odds to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, which would give them the simple majority needed to advance articles of impeachment against President Trump before his term concludes in January 2029. Traders price this scenario at the core of the 67.5% implied probability for a House vote. Recent introductions of resolutions, including one by Rep. Al Green in late August 2026 citing oath violations and agency actions, illustrate ongoing Democratic interest, though these measures remain stalled under the current Republican majority. Trump has publicly linked midterm outcomes to future impeachment risk, while Senate conviction thresholds continue to limit removal prospects. The market reflects congressional arithmetic and election forecasts rather than immediate proceedings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
68% tsansa
$96,341 Vol.
$96,341 Vol.
Jan 19, 2029
Kumita ng 3.25%
68% tsansa
$96,341 Vol.
$96,341 Vol.
Jan 19, 2029
Kumita ng 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats hold favorable odds to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, which would give them the simple majority needed to advance articles of impeachment against President Trump before his term concludes in January 2029. Traders price this scenario at the core of the 67.5% implied probability for a House vote. Recent introductions of resolutions, including one by Rep. Al Green in late August 2026 citing oath violations and agency actions, illustrate ongoing Democratic interest, though these measures remain stalled under the current Republican majority. Trump has publicly linked midterm outcomes to future impeachment risk, while Senate conviction thresholds continue to limit removal prospects. The market reflects congressional arithmetic and election forecasts rather than immediate proceedings.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$96,341Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 20, 2029Binuksan ang Market
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats hold favorable odds to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, which would give them the simple majority needed to advance articles of impeachment against President Trump before his term concludes in January 2029. Traders price this scenario at the core of the 67.5% implied probability for a House vote. Recent introductions of resolutions, including one by Rep. Al Green in late August 2026 citing oath violations and agency actions, illustrate ongoing Democratic interest, though these measures remain stalled under the current Republican majority. Trump has publicly linked midterm outcomes to future impeachment risk, while Senate conviction thresholds continue to limit removal prospects. The market reflects congressional arithmetic and election forecasts rather than immediate proceedings.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$96,341Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 20, 2029Binuksan ang Market
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats hold favorable odds to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, which would give them the simple majority needed to advance articles of impeachment against President Trump before his term concludes in January 2029. Traders price this scenario at the core of the 67.5% implied probability for a House vote. Recent introductions of resolutions, including one by Rep. Al Green in late August 2026 citing oath violations and agency actions, illustrate ongoing Democratic interest, though these measures remain stalled under the current Republican majority. Trump has publicly linked midterm outcomes to future impeachment risk, while Senate conviction thresholds continue to limit removal prospects. The market reflects congressional arithmetic and election forecasts rather than immediate proceedings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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