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Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

icon for Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

67% tsansa
Polymarket

$94,126 Vol.

67% tsansa
Polymarket

$94,126 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the primary driver behind the 67% trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029.** With Republicans holding narrow majorities in both chambers, current Democratic impeachment resolutions remain stalled in committee and have little chance of passage. Polling from June 2026 shows 53% of Americans believe grounds exist, citing issues such as alleged corruption, abuse of power, and election-related actions. Multiple articles have already been introduced this term, and analysts note that a Democratic House majority—widely viewed as likely—would provide the votes needed for a simple majority on articles. Historical patterns indicate such efforts become feasible once the opposing party controls the chamber, though Senate conviction remains a separate and higher hurdle. Recent public calls from figures including former Trump counsel Ty Cobb have kept the topic in circulation without altering immediate procedural realities.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$94,126
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 20, 2029
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the primary driver behind the 67% trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029.** With Republicans holding narrow majorities in both chambers, current Democratic impeachment resolutions remain stalled in committee and have little chance of passage. Polling from June 2026 shows 53% of Americans believe grounds exist, citing issues such as alleged corruption, abuse of power, and election-related actions. Multiple articles have already been introduced this term, and analysts note that a Democratic House majority—widely viewed as likely—would provide the votes needed for a simple majority on articles. Historical patterns indicate such efforts become feasible once the opposing party controls the chamber, though Senate conviction remains a separate and higher hurdle. Recent public calls from figures including former Trump counsel Ty Cobb have kept the topic in circulation without altering immediate procedural realities.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$94,126
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 20, 2029
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 67% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 67¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 67% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" ay naka-generate ng $94.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 19, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" ay 67% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 67% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.