Alphabet's recent AI-fueled stock rally, including cloud revenue surges and a 100%+ yearly gain that pushed Larry Page past the $300 billion mark, has driven trader consensus toward the Google co-founders for second-richest status by year-end. Page and Brin hold closely matched leads at 37.5% and 34.6% implied probability due to their near-identical Alphabet stakes and the company's full-stack AI positioning, while Larry Ellison's 25.6% reflects Oracle's AI infrastructure momentum. Differentiators include Alphabet's broader search and distribution advantages versus Ellison's narrower cloud focus or Nvidia's chip dominance, with year-end earnings and market swings as key swing factors in this tight race.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2nd richest person on December 31?
2nd richest person on December 31?
Sergey Brin 36.1%
Bernard Arnault 22.0%
Mark Zuckerberg 11.0%
Jensen Huang 3.8%
$45,366 Обс.
$45,366 Обс.
Mar 31, 2026
Sergey Brin
36%
Bernard Arnault
22%
Mark Zuckerberg
19%
Jensen Huang
4%
Jeff Bezos
4%
Larry Ellison
9%
Steve Ballmer
25%
Warren Buffett
<1%
Elon Musk
5%
Larry Page
63%
Sergey Brin 36.1%
Bernard Arnault 22.0%
Mark Zuckerberg 11.0%
Jensen Huang 3.8%
$45,366 Обс.
$45,366 Обс.
Mar 31, 2026
Sergey Brin
$7,404 Обс.
36%
Bernard Arnault
$905 Обс.
22%
Mark Zuckerberg
$592 Обс.
19%
Jensen Huang
$1,058 Обс.
4%
Jeff Bezos
$9,725 Обс.
4%
Larry Ellison
$913 Обс.
9%
Steve Ballmer
$1,193 Обс.
25%
Warren Buffett
$1,660 Обс.
<1%
Elon Musk
$896 Обс.
5%
Larry Page
$21,020 Обс.
63%
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Alphabet's recent AI-fueled stock rally, including cloud revenue surges and a 100%+ yearly gain that pushed Larry Page past the $300 billion mark, has driven trader consensus toward the Google co-founders for second-richest status by year-end. Page and Brin hold closely matched leads at 37.5% and 34.6% implied probability due to their near-identical Alphabet stakes and the company's full-stack AI positioning, while Larry Ellison's 25.6% reflects Oracle's AI infrastructure momentum. Differentiators include Alphabet's broader search and distribution advantages versus Ellison's narrower cloud focus or Nvidia's chip dominance, with year-end earnings and market swings as key swing factors in this tight race.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$45,366Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Alphabet's recent AI-fueled stock rally, including cloud revenue surges and a 100%+ yearly gain that pushed Larry Page past the $300 billion mark, has driven trader consensus toward the Google co-founders for second-richest status by year-end. Page and Brin hold closely matched leads at 37.5% and 34.6% implied probability due to their near-identical Alphabet stakes and the company's full-stack AI positioning, while Larry Ellison's 25.6% reflects Oracle's AI infrastructure momentum. Differentiators include Alphabet's broader search and distribution advantages versus Ellison's narrower cloud focus or Nvidia's chip dominance, with year-end earnings and market swings as key swing factors in this tight race.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Обсяг
$45,366Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alphabet's recent AI-fueled stock rally, including cloud revenue surges and a 100%+ yearly gain that pushed Larry Page past the $300 billion mark, has driven trader consensus toward the Google co-founders for second-richest status by year-end. Page and Brin hold closely matched leads at 37.5% and 34.6% implied probability due to their near-identical Alphabet stakes and the company's full-stack AI positioning, while Larry Ellison's 25.6% reflects Oracle's AI infrastructure momentum. Differentiators include Alphabet's broader search and distribution advantages versus Ellison's narrower cloud focus or Nvidia's chip dominance, with year-end earnings and market swings as key swing factors in this tight race.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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