Google leads trader consensus for third place on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (Style Control On) at end-October 2026, with recent Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.6 Pro updates strengthening its multimodal reasoning and agentic performance. Tight competition from Alibaba’s Qwen 3 series, Meta’s Llama iterations, and fast-closing Chinese labs such as Moonshot and DeepSeek keeps probabilities clustered, as U.S.–China model gaps have narrowed sharply on public benchmarks. Anthropic and OpenAI remain favored for the top two spots, leaving the third position sensitive to incremental releases, context-window gains, and style-control consistency before the October 31 resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
Google 35%
Alibaba 25%
Meta 17%
Anthropic 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 31, 2026
35%
Alibaba
25%
Meta
17%
Anthropic
14%
Moonshot
10%
DeepSeek
6%
OpenAI
6%
ByteDance
5%
Meituan
5%
Z.ai
4%
Mistral
4%
Tencent
4%
SpaceXAI
3%
Baidu
3%
Thinky
3%
MiniMax
3%
Amazon
3%
Xiaomi
3%
StepFun
1%
Microsoft
1%
Nvidia
1%
Google 35%
Alibaba 25%
Meta 17%
Anthropic 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 31, 2026
$2,015 Обс.
35%
Alibaba
$373 Обс.
25%
Meta
$425 Обс.
17%
Anthropic
$259 Обс.
14%
Moonshot
$185 Обс.
10%
DeepSeek
$150 Обс.
6%
OpenAI
$155 Обс.
6%
ByteDance
$311 Обс.
5%
Meituan
$402 Обс.
5%
Z.ai
$155 Обс.
4%
Mistral
$255 Обс.
4%
Tencent
$231 Обс.
4%
SpaceXAI
$150 Обс.
3%
Baidu
$150 Обс.
3%
Thinky
$236 Обс.
3%
MiniMax
$252 Обс.
3%
Amazon
$249 Обс.
3%
Xiaomi
$358 Обс.
3%
StepFun
$231 Обс.
1%
Microsoft
$216 Обс.
1%
Nvidia
$231 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google leads trader consensus for third place on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (Style Control On) at end-October 2026, with recent Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.6 Pro updates strengthening its multimodal reasoning and agentic performance. Tight competition from Alibaba’s Qwen 3 series, Meta’s Llama iterations, and fast-closing Chinese labs such as Moonshot and DeepSeek keeps probabilities clustered, as U.S.–China model gaps have narrowed sharply on public benchmarks. Anthropic and OpenAI remain favored for the top two spots, leaving the third position sensitive to incremental releases, context-window gains, and style-control consistency before the October 31 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,993Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google leads trader consensus for third place on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (Style Control On) at end-October 2026, with recent Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.6 Pro updates strengthening its multimodal reasoning and agentic performance. Tight competition from Alibaba’s Qwen 3 series, Meta’s Llama iterations, and fast-closing Chinese labs such as Moonshot and DeepSeek keeps probabilities clustered, as U.S.–China model gaps have narrowed sharply on public benchmarks. Anthropic and OpenAI remain favored for the top two spots, leaving the third position sensitive to incremental releases, context-window gains, and style-control consistency before the October 31 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$6,993Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google leads trader consensus for third place on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (Style Control On) at end-October 2026, with recent Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.6 Pro updates strengthening its multimodal reasoning and agentic performance. Tight competition from Alibaba’s Qwen 3 series, Meta’s Llama iterations, and fast-closing Chinese labs such as Moonshot and DeepSeek keeps probabilities clustered, as U.S.–China model gaps have narrowed sharply on public benchmarks. Anthropic and OpenAI remain favored for the top two spots, leaving the third position sensitive to incremental releases, context-window gains, and style-control consistency before the October 31 resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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