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icon for #3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

icon for #3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

Oct 1

Nov 1

Oct 1

Nov 1

Google 75%

Meta 19%

OpenAI 2.6%

Moonshot 2.4%

Polymarket

$110,115 Обс.

Google 75%

Meta 19%

OpenAI 2.6%

Moonshot 2.4%

Polymarket

$110,115 Обс.

icon for Google

Google

$19,853 Обс.

75%

icon for Meta

Meta

$27,808 Обс.

19%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$4,802 Обс.

3%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$3,605 Обс.

2%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$9,756 Обс.

1%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$2,418 Обс.

1%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$1,925 Обс.

1%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$1,975 Обс.

1%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$21,137 Обс.

<1%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$2,312 Обс.

<1%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$2,672 Обс.

<1%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$1,856 Обс.

<1%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$1,149 Обс.

<1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$1,514 Обс.

<1%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$1,992 Обс.

<1%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$799 Обс.

<1%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$1,570 Обс.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$480 Обс.

<1%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$659 Обс.

<1%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$700 Обс.

<1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$1,134 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's 74% implied probability for the #3 ranking on arena.ai's Text Arena (style control on) by September 30 stems from its recent Gemini model iterations and competitive benchmark gains, which traders see as likely to secure that exact position amid rapid iteration across labs. Multiple contenders clustered near 50% reflect tight competition where small leaderboard shifts from new releases or fine-tuning could alter the third slot, while Meta's lower 18.5% odds align with slower demonstrated progress on style-controllable text outputs relative to leaders. With resolution just two weeks away, upcoming model drops or arena updates represent the main swing factors, underscoring how real-capital trading aggregates nuanced assessments of current LLM capabilities rather than guarantees.

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$110,115
Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's 74% implied probability for the #3 ranking on arena.ai's Text Arena (style control on) by September 30 stems from its recent Gemini model iterations and competitive benchmark gains, which traders see as likely to secure that exact position amid rapid iteration across labs. Multiple contenders clustered near 50% reflect tight competition where small leaderboard shifts from new releases or fine-tuning could alter the third slot, while Meta's lower 18.5% odds align with slower demonstrated progress on style-controllable text outputs relative to leaders. With resolution just two weeks away, upcoming model drops or arena updates represent the main swing factors, underscoring how real-capital trading aggregates nuanced assessments of current LLM capabilities rather than guarantees.

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$110,115
Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 21 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Google» з 75%, далі «Meta» з 19%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)» згенерував $110.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 24, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)», перегляньте 21 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)» — «Google» з 75%. Наступний — «Meta» з 19%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.