Former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra holds a slight lead in the latest polls for California's June 2 top-two primary for governor, with recent Emerson College, Inside California Politics, and Mellman Group surveys showing him ahead among likely voters following strong debate performances and Democrat Eric Swalwell's withdrawal, which has consolidated Democratic support in the crowded field. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Becerra at 47.5% implied probability for first place, reflecting his surge from single digits earlier this spring, while billionaire Tom Steyer at 24.5% benefits from environmental advocacy and fundraising, and Republican Steve Hilton at 22.5% draws from GOP turnout despite party divisions with Sheriff Chad Bianco. The volatile race could shift with the final debate this week and early voting underway.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоXavier Becerra 48%
Tom Steyer 25%
Steve Hilton 23%
Chad Bianco 2.6%
$26,691 Обс.
$26,691 Обс.
Xavier Becerra
48%
Tom Steyer
25%
Steve Hilton
23%
Chad Bianco
3%
Matt Mahan
2%
Raji Rab
1%
Katie Porter
1%
Nicki Minaj
1%
Derek Grasty
1%
Elaine Culotti
1%
Thunder Parley
<1%
Leo Zacky
<1%
Daniel Mercuri
<1%
Carolina Buhler
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Betty Yee
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
<1%
Xavier Becerra 48%
Tom Steyer 25%
Steve Hilton 23%
Chad Bianco 2.6%
$26,691 Обс.
$26,691 Обс.
Xavier Becerra
48%
Tom Steyer
25%
Steve Hilton
23%
Chad Bianco
3%
Matt Mahan
2%
Raji Rab
1%
Katie Porter
1%
Nicki Minaj
1%
Derek Grasty
1%
Elaine Culotti
1%
Thunder Parley
<1%
Leo Zacky
<1%
Daniel Mercuri
<1%
Carolina Buhler
<1%
Tony Thurmond
<1%
Betty Yee
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Ramsey Robinson
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra holds a slight lead in the latest polls for California's June 2 top-two primary for governor, with recent Emerson College, Inside California Politics, and Mellman Group surveys showing him ahead among likely voters following strong debate performances and Democrat Eric Swalwell's withdrawal, which has consolidated Democratic support in the crowded field. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Becerra at 47.5% implied probability for first place, reflecting his surge from single digits earlier this spring, while billionaire Tom Steyer at 24.5% benefits from environmental advocacy and fundraising, and Republican Steve Hilton at 22.5% draws from GOP turnout despite party divisions with Sheriff Chad Bianco. The volatile race could shift with the final debate this week and early voting underway.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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