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icon for Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
Політика·Нова Зеландія

Christopher Luxon out by September 30?

icon for Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
Політика·Нова Зеландія

Christopher Luxon out by September 30?

8% шанс
Polymarket

$70,627 Обс.

8% шанс
Polymarket

$70,627 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Luxon ceases to be Prime Minister of New Zealand for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Christopher Luxon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christopher Luxon and the government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Luxon’s position as New Zealand Prime Minister remains stable following his August 12, 2026, caucus confidence vote, in which he secured the National Party’s support and saw off a challenge from Defence Minister Chris Penk. Penk was subsequently removed from cabinet and announced he would not contest the November 7 general election. Recent polling shows National holding a narrow lead despite Luxon’s low personal ratings and sluggish economic conditions, while the party has focused on coalition management and policy delivery ahead of the vote. With no further leadership speculation or procedural moves reported in the days since the caucus meeting, traders assess a high probability that Luxon will remain in office through September 30.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Luxon ceases to be Prime Minister of New Zealand for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Christopher Luxon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christopher Luxon and the government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$70,627
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Luxon ceases to be Prime Minister of New Zealand for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Christopher Luxon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christopher Luxon and the government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Luxon ceases to be Prime Minister of New Zealand for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Christopher Luxon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christopher Luxon and the government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Luxon’s position as New Zealand Prime Minister remains stable following his August 12, 2026, caucus confidence vote, in which he secured the National Party’s support and saw off a challenge from Defence Minister Chris Penk. Penk was subsequently removed from cabinet and announced he would not contest the November 7 general election. Recent polling shows National holding a narrow lead despite Luxon’s low personal ratings and sluggish economic conditions, while the party has focused on coalition management and policy delivery ahead of the vote. With no further leadership speculation or procedural moves reported in the days since the caucus meeting, traders assess a high probability that Luxon will remain in office through September 30.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Luxon ceases to be Prime Minister of New Zealand for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Christopher Luxon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christopher Luxon and the government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$70,627
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Luxon ceases to be Prime Minister of New Zealand for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Christopher Luxon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christopher Luxon and the government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Christopher Luxon out by September 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 8% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 8¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 8%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Christopher Luxon out by September 30?» згенерував $70.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 21, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Christopher Luxon out by September 30?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Christopher Luxon out by September 30?» — 8% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 8% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Christopher Luxon out by September 30?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.