Ongoing US military strikes targeting Iranian coastal defenses, missile sites, and command centers along the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz have heightened focus on Iranian-held islands, including Farsi Island, an IRGC naval outpost near key shipping lanes. Recent developments include precision operations against facilities on or near Kharg Island and assertions of control over maritime routes, amid Iranian warnings of retaliation and efforts to maintain sovereignty. These actions, combined with blockade enforcement and diplomatic signals from mediators like Oman, shape trader assessments of whether external forces could alter control of smaller strategic sites like Farsi. Scheduled negotiations or further escalation in the coming weeks represent key variables that could shift outcomes before any resolution deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$170,167 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
$170,167 Обс.
August 31
$161,275 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US military strikes targeting Iranian coastal defenses, missile sites, and command centers along the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz have heightened focus on Iranian-held islands, including Farsi Island, an IRGC naval outpost near key shipping lanes. Recent developments include precision operations against facilities on or near Kharg Island and assertions of control over maritime routes, amid Iranian warnings of retaliation and efforts to maintain sovereignty. These actions, combined with blockade enforcement and diplomatic signals from mediators like Oman, shape trader assessments of whether external forces could alter control of smaller strategic sites like Farsi. Scheduled negotiations or further escalation in the coming weeks represent key variables that could shift outcomes before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
Обсяг
$170,167Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US military strikes targeting Iranian coastal defenses, missile sites, and command centers along the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz have heightened focus on Iranian-held islands, including Farsi Island, an IRGC naval outpost near key shipping lanes. Recent developments include precision operations against facilities on or near Kharg Island and assertions of control over maritime routes, amid Iranian warnings of retaliation and efforts to maintain sovereignty. These actions, combined with blockade enforcement and diplomatic signals from mediators like Oman, shape trader assessments of whether external forces could alter control of smaller strategic sites like Farsi. Scheduled negotiations or further escalation in the coming weeks represent key variables that could shift outcomes before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$170,167Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US military strikes targeting Iranian coastal defenses, missile sites, and command centers along the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz have heightened focus on Iranian-held islands, including Farsi Island, an IRGC naval outpost near key shipping lanes. Recent developments include precision operations against facilities on or near Kharg Island and assertions of control over maritime routes, amid Iranian warnings of retaliation and efforts to maintain sovereignty. These actions, combined with blockade enforcement and diplomatic signals from mediators like Oman, shape trader assessments of whether external forces could alter control of smaller strategic sites like Farsi. Scheduled negotiations or further escalation in the coming weeks represent key variables that could shift outcomes before any resolution deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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