Skip to main content
icon for First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?
Політика·Проміжні семестри

First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?

icon for First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?
Політика·Проміжні семестри

First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?

94% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
94% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.Recent polling in the open 2026 Georgia gubernatorial race shows Democratic nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms leading Republican nominee Rick Jackson by margins of 4–7 points, with small shares of undecided voters. After both parties completed their primaries—including a June Republican runoff won by businessman Rick Jackson—the contest has consolidated into a two-candidate general election on November 3. Georgia election rules require a majority for an outright win; absent a substantial third-party or write-in presence, the current survey spreads make it likely the leader exceeds 50 percent once undecideds and leaners are allocated. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for an outright first-round winner reflects this structural dynamic and the limited scope for vote fragmentation in the final weeks.

The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.
Обсяг
$635
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 5:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.Recent polling in the open 2026 Georgia gubernatorial race shows Democratic nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms leading Republican nominee Rick Jackson by margins of 4–7 points, with small shares of undecided voters. After both parties completed their primaries—including a June Republican runoff won by businessman Rick Jackson—the contest has consolidated into a two-candidate general election on November 3. Georgia election rules require a majority for an outright win; absent a substantial third-party or write-in presence, the current survey spreads make it likely the leader exceeds 50 percent once undecideds and leaners are allocated. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for an outright first-round winner reflects this structural dynamic and the limited scope for vote fragmentation in the final weeks.

The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.
Обсяг
$635
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 5:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.

Пов'язане

icon for First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?

First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?

93%
icon for First Round Outright Winner in the GA-01 House Election?

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-01 House Election?

95%
icon for First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?

97%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 94% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 94¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 94%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 14, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?» — 94% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 94% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.