Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 30°C in Ankara on August 13, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure that limited daytime heating. Multiple forecast models converged on this value 24–48 hours ahead, aligning with typical mid-August climatology for the region where highs average near 31°C but rarely exceed it without stronger southerly flow or subsidence warming. The 100% market-implied probability reflects traders’ assessment of verified station data meeting the precise resolution threshold. Only an unreported sensor malfunction or post-event quality-control revision could alter the outcome, both of which remain statistically improbable given redundant monitoring networks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on August 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 13?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$48,656 Обс.
$48,656 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$48,656 Обс.
$48,656 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
$2,886 Обс.
No
27°C
$871 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,296 Обс.
No
29°C
$5,897 Обс.
No
30°C
$11,382 Обс.
Yes
31°C
$18,038 Обс.
No
32°C
$3,750 Обс.
No
33°C
$2,223 Обс.
No
34°C
$987 Обс.
No
35°C
$814 Обс.
No
36°C or higher
$510 Обс.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 30°C in Ankara on August 13, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure that limited daytime heating. Multiple forecast models converged on this value 24–48 hours ahead, aligning with typical mid-August climatology for the region where highs average near 31°C but rarely exceed it without stronger southerly flow or subsidence warming. The 100% market-implied probability reflects traders’ assessment of verified station data meeting the precise resolution threshold. Only an unreported sensor malfunction or post-event quality-control revision could alter the outcome, both of which remain statistically improbable given redundant monitoring networks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$48,656Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 30°C in Ankara on August 13, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure that limited daytime heating. Multiple forecast models converged on this value 24–48 hours ahead, aligning with typical mid-August climatology for the region where highs average near 31°C but rarely exceed it without stronger southerly flow or subsidence warming. The 100% market-implied probability reflects traders’ assessment of verified station data meeting the precise resolution threshold. Only an unreported sensor malfunction or post-event quality-control revision could alter the outcome, both of which remain statistically improbable given redundant monitoring networks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$48,656Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 30°C in Ankara on August 13, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure that limited daytime heating. Multiple forecast models converged on this value 24–48 hours ahead, aligning with typical mid-August climatology for the region where highs average near 31°C but rarely exceed it without stronger southerly flow or subsidence warming. The 100% market-implied probability reflects traders’ assessment of verified station data meeting the precise resolution threshold. Only an unreported sensor malfunction or post-event quality-control revision could alter the outcome, both of which remain statistically improbable given redundant monitoring networks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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