Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for Ankara center daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on July 13, with tight spread reflecting stable high-pressure influence over the Anatolian plateau and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C, as traders weigh model agreement against typical July climatology of 29–32°C highs and local factors such as diurnal heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Minor divergences in wind direction or timing of any subtle trough could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will resolve the exact value. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on July 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 13?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$50,225 Обс.
$50,225 Обс.
Jul 13, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$50,225 Обс.
$50,225 Обс.
Jul 13, 2026
28°C or below
$1,967 Обс.
No
29°C
$436 Обс.
No
30°C
$2,221 Обс.
No
31°C
$14,440 Обс.
No
32°C
$11,912 Обс.
Yes
33°C
$7,923 Обс.
No
34°C
$9,321 Обс.
No
35°C
$867 Обс.
No
36°C
$274 Обс.
No
37°C
$461 Обс.
No
38°C or higher
$401 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for Ankara center daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on July 13, with tight spread reflecting stable high-pressure influence over the Anatolian plateau and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C, as traders weigh model agreement against typical July climatology of 29–32°C highs and local factors such as diurnal heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Minor divergences in wind direction or timing of any subtle trough could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will resolve the exact value. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$50,225Дата завершення
Jul 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for Ankara center daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on July 13, with tight spread reflecting stable high-pressure influence over the Anatolian plateau and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C, as traders weigh model agreement against typical July climatology of 29–32°C highs and local factors such as diurnal heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Minor divergences in wind direction or timing of any subtle trough could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will resolve the exact value. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$50,225Дата завершення
Jul 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for Ankara center daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on July 13, with tight spread reflecting stable high-pressure influence over the Anatolian plateau and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C, as traders weigh model agreement against typical July climatology of 29–32°C highs and local factors such as diurnal heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Minor divergences in wind direction or timing of any subtle trough could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will resolve the exact value. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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