Recent National Weather Service guidance shows Austin under a Flood Watch through July 16 evening amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, limiting afternoon insolation and capping the daily maximum. Model consensus points to highs near 85–88 °F, several degrees below the mid-July climatological average of ~96 °F, as increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rainfall, and a modest southeasterly flow suppress peak readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87 °F bands reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability assigned to 88–89 °F only if convection remains scattered and delayed. Key resolution variables include the precise timing and coverage of storms on the 16th, which National Weather Service updates will refine through the afternoon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on July 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 16?
86-87°F 31%
84-85°F 25%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 16, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
31%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
2%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 31%
84-85°F 25%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 16, 2026
75°F or below
$115 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$191 Обс.
1%
78-79°F
$11 Обс.
6%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
9%
82-83°F
$558 Обс.
11%
84-85°F
$104 Обс.
25%
86-87°F
$53 Обс.
31%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
16%
90-91°F
$0 Обс.
9%
92-93°F
$16 Обс.
2%
94°F or higher
$578 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance shows Austin under a Flood Watch through July 16 evening amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, limiting afternoon insolation and capping the daily maximum. Model consensus points to highs near 85–88 °F, several degrees below the mid-July climatological average of ~96 °F, as increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rainfall, and a modest southeasterly flow suppress peak readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87 °F bands reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability assigned to 88–89 °F only if convection remains scattered and delayed. Key resolution variables include the precise timing and coverage of storms on the 16th, which National Weather Service updates will refine through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,610Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance shows Austin under a Flood Watch through July 16 evening amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, limiting afternoon insolation and capping the daily maximum. Model consensus points to highs near 85–88 °F, several degrees below the mid-July climatological average of ~96 °F, as increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rainfall, and a modest southeasterly flow suppress peak readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87 °F bands reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability assigned to 88–89 °F only if convection remains scattered and delayed. Key resolution variables include the precise timing and coverage of storms on the 16th, which National Weather Service updates will refine through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,610Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance shows Austin under a Flood Watch through July 16 evening amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, limiting afternoon insolation and capping the daily maximum. Model consensus points to highs near 85–88 °F, several degrees below the mid-July climatological average of ~96 °F, as increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rainfall, and a modest southeasterly flow suppress peak readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87 °F bands reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability assigned to 88–89 °F only if convection remains scattered and delayed. Key resolution variables include the precise timing and coverage of storms on the 16th, which National Weather Service updates will refine through the afternoon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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