Short-range forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies show Chongqing under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak temperatures near 37–38°C on July 13. Ensemble guidance indicates modest variability in afternoon humidity and boundary-layer moisture that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C, keeping 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Urban heat-island effects and upstream monsoon flow add further uncertainty to precise readings at official stations. Historical July extremes in the region have occasionally exceeded 40°C when subsidence strengthens, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures suggest such outliers remain low-probability. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 13?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 13?
37°C 23%
38°C 22%
36°C 20%
39°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 13, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
13%
36°C
18%
37°C
23%
38°C
22%
39°C
15%
40°C
9%
41°C
3%
42°C or higher
4%
37°C 23%
38°C 22%
36°C 20%
39°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 13, 2026
32°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
33°C
$0 Обс.
1%
34°C
$0 Обс.
2%
35°C
$0 Обс.
13%
36°C
$5 Обс.
18%
37°C
$0 Обс.
23%
38°C
$0 Обс.
22%
39°C
$0 Обс.
15%
40°C
$15 Обс.
9%
41°C
$27 Обс.
3%
42°C or higher
$27 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies show Chongqing under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak temperatures near 37–38°C on July 13. Ensemble guidance indicates modest variability in afternoon humidity and boundary-layer moisture that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C, keeping 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Urban heat-island effects and upstream monsoon flow add further uncertainty to precise readings at official stations. Historical July extremes in the region have occasionally exceeded 40°C when subsidence strengthens, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures suggest such outliers remain low-probability. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$74Дата завершення
Jul 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies show Chongqing under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak temperatures near 37–38°C on July 13. Ensemble guidance indicates modest variability in afternoon humidity and boundary-layer moisture that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C, keeping 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Urban heat-island effects and upstream monsoon flow add further uncertainty to precise readings at official stations. Historical July extremes in the region have occasionally exceeded 40°C when subsidence strengthens, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures suggest such outliers remain low-probability. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$74Дата завершення
Jul 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies show Chongqing under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak temperatures near 37–38°C on July 13. Ensemble guidance indicates modest variability in afternoon humidity and boundary-layer moisture that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C, keeping 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Urban heat-island effects and upstream monsoon flow add further uncertainty to precise readings at official stations. Historical July extremes in the region have occasionally exceeded 40°C when subsidence strengthens, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures suggest such outliers remain low-probability. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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