Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently point to peak highs near 40°C in Chongqing on July 14, driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation amid the region's typical summer monsoon lull. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because minor variations in predicted wind shear, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows average highs of 33–35°C, yet recent multi-day heat anomalies have elevated baseline temperatures, increasing the probability of exceeding 40°C while keeping extremes above 43°C unlikely without an unexpected ridge strengthening. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 14?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 14?
42°C 43%
41°C 35%
40°C 16%
39°C 9%
НОВЕ
$24,074 Обс.
НОВЕ
$24,074 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
36°C or below
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
9%
40°C
16%
41°C
35%
42°C
43%
43°C
4%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C or higher
<1%
42°C 43%
41°C 35%
40°C 16%
39°C 9%
НОВЕ
$24,074 Обс.
НОВЕ
$24,074 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
36°C or below
$2,927 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$3,332 Обс.
1%
38°C
$3,196 Обс.
1%
39°C
$1,805 Обс.
9%
40°C
$1,211 Обс.
16%
41°C
$1,165 Обс.
35%
42°C
$1,526 Обс.
43%
43°C
$7,362 Обс.
4%
44°C
$746 Обс.
1%
45°C
$368 Обс.
<1%
46°C or higher
$437 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently point to peak highs near 40°C in Chongqing on July 14, driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation amid the region's typical summer monsoon lull. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because minor variations in predicted wind shear, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows average highs of 33–35°C, yet recent multi-day heat anomalies have elevated baseline temperatures, increasing the probability of exceeding 40°C while keeping extremes above 43°C unlikely without an unexpected ridge strengthening. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,074Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently point to peak highs near 40°C in Chongqing on July 14, driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation amid the region's typical summer monsoon lull. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because minor variations in predicted wind shear, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows average highs of 33–35°C, yet recent multi-day heat anomalies have elevated baseline temperatures, increasing the probability of exceeding 40°C while keeping extremes above 43°C unlikely without an unexpected ridge strengthening. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$24,074Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently point to peak highs near 40°C in Chongqing on July 14, driven by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation amid the region's typical summer monsoon lull. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because minor variations in predicted wind shear, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows average highs of 33–35°C, yet recent multi-day heat anomalies have elevated baseline temperatures, increasing the probability of exceeding 40°C while keeping extremes above 43°C unlikely without an unexpected ridge strengthening. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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