Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS supports a peak daily high near 37°C in Chongqing on September 6, consistent with the market's leading 50% implied probability on that outcome. Light southerly winds, mostly sunny conditions, and dew points in the mid-20s°C favor efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or rain to suppress temperatures. Recent days have seen similar highs of 34–36°C under comparable patterns, placing 36°C and 38°C as secondary possibilities at 28% and 11% respectively. Official maximum readings from local stations will resolve the market, with final model updates and any last-minute steering changes remaining the key variables before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
37°C 46%
36°C 33%
38°C 12%
35°C 8%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
8%
36°C
33%
37°C
46%
38°C
12%
39°C
4%
40°C
3%
41°C or higher
2%
37°C 46%
36°C 33%
38°C 12%
35°C 8%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
8%
36°C
33%
37°C
46%
38°C
12%
39°C
4%
40°C
3%
41°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS supports a peak daily high near 37°C in Chongqing on September 6, consistent with the market's leading 50% implied probability on that outcome. Light southerly winds, mostly sunny conditions, and dew points in the mid-20s°C favor efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or rain to suppress temperatures. Recent days have seen similar highs of 34–36°C under comparable patterns, placing 36°C and 38°C as secondary possibilities at 28% and 11% respectively. Official maximum readings from local stations will resolve the market, with final model updates and any last-minute steering changes remaining the key variables before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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