Recent National Weather Service and private model runs highlight increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms expected over Houston on July 14, driven by a moist southerly flow and weak frontal boundary. These conditions limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, capping highs near the low-to-mid 80s rather than the July climatological average of 93–94°F. Trader consensus clustering on the 80–83°F brackets reflects this consensus across guidance, with lower-probability warmer outcomes requiring rapid clearing and stronger subsidence that current ensemble spreads do not strongly support.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on July 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 14?
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 12%
НОВЕ
$23,022 Обс.
НОВЕ
$23,022 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 12%
НОВЕ
$23,022 Обс.
НОВЕ
$23,022 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
73°F or below
$4,199 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,494 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,245 Обс.
1%
78-79°F
$1,943 Обс.
16%
80-81°F
$1,550 Обс.
32%
82-83°F
$1,875 Обс.
37%
84-85°F
$3,745 Обс.
12%
86-87°F
$4,664 Обс.
2%
88-89°F
$1,092 Обс.
1%
90-91°F
$517 Обс.
<1%
92°F or higher
$699 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs highlight increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms expected over Houston on July 14, driven by a moist southerly flow and weak frontal boundary. These conditions limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, capping highs near the low-to-mid 80s rather than the July climatological average of 93–94°F. Trader consensus clustering on the 80–83°F brackets reflects this consensus across guidance, with lower-probability warmer outcomes requiring rapid clearing and stronger subsidence that current ensemble spreads do not strongly support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$23,022Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs highlight increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms expected over Houston on July 14, driven by a moist southerly flow and weak frontal boundary. These conditions limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, capping highs near the low-to-mid 80s rather than the July climatological average of 93–94°F. Trader consensus clustering on the 80–83°F brackets reflects this consensus across guidance, with lower-probability warmer outcomes requiring rapid clearing and stronger subsidence that current ensemble spreads do not strongly support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$23,022Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model runs highlight increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms expected over Houston on July 14, driven by a moist southerly flow and weak frontal boundary. These conditions limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, capping highs near the low-to-mid 80s rather than the July climatological average of 93–94°F. Trader consensus clustering on the 80–83°F brackets reflects this consensus across guidance, with lower-probability warmer outcomes requiring rapid clearing and stronger subsidence that current ensemble spreads do not strongly support.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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