Forecast consensus from meteorological models places Munich's peak temperature on August 22 at 21°C, driven by a cooler-than-average air mass, persistent cloud cover, and light showers limiting daytime heating. Official guidance shows afternoon highs holding near 19–21°C under northwest flow, well below the late-August climatological average of 23–24°C. This alignment across multiple runs supports the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 21°C. Only an unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could push readings higher, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on August 22?
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,680 Обс.
$78,680 Обс.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,680 Обс.
$78,680 Обс.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Forecast consensus from meteorological models places Munich's peak temperature on August 22 at 21°C, driven by a cooler-than-average air mass, persistent cloud cover, and light showers limiting daytime heating. Official guidance shows afternoon highs holding near 19–21°C under northwest flow, well below the late-August climatological average of 23–24°C. This alignment across multiple runs supports the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 21°C. Only an unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could push readings higher, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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