Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate clear, sunny conditions over São Paulo on August 18, 2026, supporting maximum temperatures near 30–31°C amid the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season. These align with the market’s leading outcomes, as light winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to maximize solar heating above the August climatological average of 23–25°C. Early-month observations showed peaks around 28°C under similar high-pressure patterns, with model consensus favoring modest warming without significant frontal systems or moisture to suppress readings. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of 30–32°C resolution against minor uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized urban heat effects. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of the date represent the next key inputs for refining these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 18?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 18?
31°C 43%
30°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
30%
31°C
43%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 43%
30°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
24°C or below
$35 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$42 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$96 Обс.
1%
28°C
$104 Обс.
4%
29°C
$144 Обс.
9%
30°C
$129 Обс.
30%
31°C
$731 Обс.
43%
32°C
$80 Обс.
16%
33°C
$149 Обс.
3%
34°C or higher
$55 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate clear, sunny conditions over São Paulo on August 18, 2026, supporting maximum temperatures near 30–31°C amid the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season. These align with the market’s leading outcomes, as light winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to maximize solar heating above the August climatological average of 23–25°C. Early-month observations showed peaks around 28°C under similar high-pressure patterns, with model consensus favoring modest warming without significant frontal systems or moisture to suppress readings. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of 30–32°C resolution against minor uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized urban heat effects. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of the date represent the next key inputs for refining these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,602Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate clear, sunny conditions over São Paulo on August 18, 2026, supporting maximum temperatures near 30–31°C amid the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season. These align with the market’s leading outcomes, as light winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to maximize solar heating above the August climatological average of 23–25°C. Early-month observations showed peaks around 28°C under similar high-pressure patterns, with model consensus favoring modest warming without significant frontal systems or moisture to suppress readings. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of 30–32°C resolution against minor uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized urban heat effects. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of the date represent the next key inputs for refining these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,602Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate clear, sunny conditions over São Paulo on August 18, 2026, supporting maximum temperatures near 30–31°C amid the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season. These align with the market’s leading outcomes, as light winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to maximize solar heating above the August climatological average of 23–25°C. Early-month observations showed peaks around 28°C under similar high-pressure patterns, with model consensus favoring modest warming without significant frontal systems or moisture to suppress readings. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of 30–32°C resolution against minor uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized urban heat effects. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of the date represent the next key inputs for refining these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання