Seattle's mid-August temperature market reflects typical late-summer maritime conditions moderating highs into the mid-70s, consistent with climatological averages near 75–77°F and recent NWS guidance projecting 76°F under mostly sunny skies. Close probabilities among 72–77°F outcomes stem from model uncertainty around afternoon marine layer development, onshore flow strength, and localized urban heat effects, which can shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Warmer-than-average seasonal trends support the slight edge for 74–75°F, while minimal heat advection keeps 80°F+ scenarios at low odds. Traders monitor updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations through the afternoon peak for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on August 16?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 16?
74-75°F 33%
76-77°F 26%
72-73°F 23%
71°F or below 10.8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
71°F or below
11%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 33%
76-77°F 26%
72-73°F 23%
71°F or below 10.8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
71°F or below
$602 Обс.
11%
72-73°F
$1,148 Обс.
23%
74-75°F
$266 Обс.
33%
76-77°F
$836 Обс.
26%
78-79°F
$995 Обс.
10%
80-81°F
$145 Обс.
4%
82-83°F
$279 Обс.
3%
84-85°F
$815 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$308 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$330 Обс.
<1%
90°F or higher
$315 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seattle's mid-August temperature market reflects typical late-summer maritime conditions moderating highs into the mid-70s, consistent with climatological averages near 75–77°F and recent NWS guidance projecting 76°F under mostly sunny skies. Close probabilities among 72–77°F outcomes stem from model uncertainty around afternoon marine layer development, onshore flow strength, and localized urban heat effects, which can shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Warmer-than-average seasonal trends support the slight edge for 74–75°F, while minimal heat advection keeps 80°F+ scenarios at low odds. Traders monitor updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations through the afternoon peak for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,039Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seattle's mid-August temperature market reflects typical late-summer maritime conditions moderating highs into the mid-70s, consistent with climatological averages near 75–77°F and recent NWS guidance projecting 76°F under mostly sunny skies. Close probabilities among 72–77°F outcomes stem from model uncertainty around afternoon marine layer development, onshore flow strength, and localized urban heat effects, which can shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Warmer-than-average seasonal trends support the slight edge for 74–75°F, while minimal heat advection keeps 80°F+ scenarios at low odds. Traders monitor updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations through the afternoon peak for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,039Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seattle's mid-August temperature market reflects typical late-summer maritime conditions moderating highs into the mid-70s, consistent with climatological averages near 75–77°F and recent NWS guidance projecting 76°F under mostly sunny skies. Close probabilities among 72–77°F outcomes stem from model uncertainty around afternoon marine layer development, onshore flow strength, and localized urban heat effects, which can shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Warmer-than-average seasonal trends support the slight edge for 74–75°F, while minimal heat advection keeps 80°F+ scenarios at low odds. Traders monitor updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations through the afternoon peak for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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