Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 16 project a high near 68°F under mostly sunny skies after possible morning drizzle, consistent with typical August marine-layer influence from the Pacific that caps inland warming. This aligns with historical averages around 67–70°F and recent model consensus emphasizing onshore flow and coastal stratus, which suppress peaks above 72°F. Trader positioning favoring 70–71°F or 72–73°F likely reflects slight upward adjustments from ensemble runs or station-specific readings at downtown or airport sites, where brief afternoon clearing can add 1–3°F. Key upcoming factors include any final NWS updates before daily maximum confirmation, with low odds for extremes underscoring the narrow uncertainty range in this climatologically stable period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 16?
70-71°F 43%
72-73°F 30%
68-69°F 14%
74-75°F 12%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 43%
72-73°F 30%
68-69°F 14%
74-75°F 12%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 16 project a high near 68°F under mostly sunny skies after possible morning drizzle, consistent with typical August marine-layer influence from the Pacific that caps inland warming. This aligns with historical averages around 67–70°F and recent model consensus emphasizing onshore flow and coastal stratus, which suppress peaks above 72°F. Trader positioning favoring 70–71°F or 72–73°F likely reflects slight upward adjustments from ensemble runs or station-specific readings at downtown or airport sites, where brief afternoon clearing can add 1–3°F. Key upcoming factors include any final NWS updates before daily maximum confirmation, with low odds for extremes underscoring the narrow uncertainty range in this climatologically stable period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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