National Weather Service forecasts center on a high near 68°F for San Francisco on August 15, driven by persistent marine layer cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the cooler Pacific that restricts daytime solar heating and maintains coastal upwelling. This positions the 68-69°F bin as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 66-71°F outcomes collectively dominating trader consensus and aligning with mid-August climatology where sea breezes typically hold highs in the mid-to-upper 60s rather than the seasonal average near 70°F. Recent model runs show no significant offshore flow or heat advection to elevate readings, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could adjust results within the 66-71°F range ahead of final NWS observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 15?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 15?
68-69°F 44%
70-71°F 28%
66-67°F 20%
72-73°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
44%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 44%
70-71°F 28%
66-67°F 20%
72-73°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
59°F or below
$756 Обс.
<1%
60-61°F
$510 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$794 Обс.
1%
64-65°F
$207 Обс.
6%
66-67°F
$683 Обс.
20%
68-69°F
$1,755 Обс.
44%
70-71°F
$1,486 Обс.
28%
72-73°F
$688 Обс.
8%
74-75°F
$587 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$461 Обс.
<1%
78°F or higher
$515 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts center on a high near 68°F for San Francisco on August 15, driven by persistent marine layer cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the cooler Pacific that restricts daytime solar heating and maintains coastal upwelling. This positions the 68-69°F bin as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 66-71°F outcomes collectively dominating trader consensus and aligning with mid-August climatology where sea breezes typically hold highs in the mid-to-upper 60s rather than the seasonal average near 70°F. Recent model runs show no significant offshore flow or heat advection to elevate readings, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could adjust results within the 66-71°F range ahead of final NWS observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,442Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts center on a high near 68°F for San Francisco on August 15, driven by persistent marine layer cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the cooler Pacific that restricts daytime solar heating and maintains coastal upwelling. This positions the 68-69°F bin as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 66-71°F outcomes collectively dominating trader consensus and aligning with mid-August climatology where sea breezes typically hold highs in the mid-to-upper 60s rather than the seasonal average near 70°F. Recent model runs show no significant offshore flow or heat advection to elevate readings, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could adjust results within the 66-71°F range ahead of final NWS observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,442Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts center on a high near 68°F for San Francisco on August 15, driven by persistent marine layer cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the cooler Pacific that restricts daytime solar heating and maintains coastal upwelling. This positions the 68-69°F bin as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 66-71°F outcomes collectively dominating trader consensus and aligning with mid-August climatology where sea breezes typically hold highs in the mid-to-upper 60s rather than the seasonal average near 70°F. Recent model runs show no significant offshore flow or heat advection to elevate readings, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could adjust results within the 66-71°F range ahead of final NWS observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання