Latest forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's June 12 daytime maximum will likely reach 32–34°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with southerly flow and moderate humidity typical of the early East Asian monsoon. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C, as daytime heating is tempered by expected cloud cover and possible light precipitation that historically suppresses peaks by 1–3°C relative to clear-sky climatology. Official observations will hinge on precise timing of any breaks in cloud and boundary-layer moisture, with new model runs overnight likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 12?
31°C 33%
30°C 28%
32°C 22%
29°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
28%
31°C
33%
32°C
22%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 33%
30°C 28%
32°C 22%
29°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 12, 2026
25°C or below
$165 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$208 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$376 Обс.
1%
28°C
$1,199 Обс.
3%
29°C
$682 Обс.
11%
30°C
$290 Обс.
28%
31°C
$585 Обс.
33%
32°C
$649 Обс.
22%
33°C
$1,534 Обс.
4%
34°C
$921 Обс.
2%
35°C or higher
$429 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's June 12 daytime maximum will likely reach 32–34°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with southerly flow and moderate humidity typical of the early East Asian monsoon. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C, as daytime heating is tempered by expected cloud cover and possible light precipitation that historically suppresses peaks by 1–3°C relative to clear-sky climatology. Official observations will hinge on precise timing of any breaks in cloud and boundary-layer moisture, with new model runs overnight likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,845Дата завершення
Jun 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's June 12 daytime maximum will likely reach 32–34°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with southerly flow and moderate humidity typical of the early East Asian monsoon. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C, as daytime heating is tempered by expected cloud cover and possible light precipitation that historically suppresses peaks by 1–3°C relative to clear-sky climatology. Official observations will hinge on precise timing of any breaks in cloud and boundary-layer moisture, with new model runs overnight likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,845Дата завершення
Jun 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's June 12 daytime maximum will likely reach 32–34°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with southerly flow and moderate humidity typical of the early East Asian monsoon. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C, as daytime heating is tempered by expected cloud cover and possible light precipitation that historically suppresses peaks by 1–3°C relative to clear-sky climatology. Official observations will hinge on precise timing of any breaks in cloud and boundary-layer moisture, with new model runs overnight likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання