Latest ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and global models indicate overnight lows in New York City on June 12 centered in the mid-70s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–77°F. This positioning reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions with limited radiative cooling under humid air masses and light winds, alongside minor model spread in the exact timing of any weak frontal influence or cloud cover. Historical June minimums average near 65°F, but current guidance shows warmer anomalies that keep sub-70°F outcomes at very low implied probabilities. Final National Weather Service observations will resolve the market once the overnight period concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on June 12?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 12?
74-75°F 28%
76-77°F 28%
78-79°F 20%
72-73°F 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 12, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
20%
80°F or higher
17%
74-75°F 28%
76-77°F 28%
78-79°F 20%
72-73°F 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 12, 2026
61°F or below
$281 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$219 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$226 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$525 Обс.
1%
68-69°F
$29 Обс.
1%
70-71°F
$6 Обс.
2%
72-73°F
$22 Обс.
10%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
28%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
28%
78-79°F
$16 Обс.
20%
80°F or higher
$6 Обс.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and global models indicate overnight lows in New York City on June 12 centered in the mid-70s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–77°F. This positioning reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions with limited radiative cooling under humid air masses and light winds, alongside minor model spread in the exact timing of any weak frontal influence or cloud cover. Historical June minimums average near 65°F, but current guidance shows warmer anomalies that keep sub-70°F outcomes at very low implied probabilities. Final National Weather Service observations will resolve the market once the overnight period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,307Дата завершення
Jun 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and global models indicate overnight lows in New York City on June 12 centered in the mid-70s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–77°F. This positioning reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions with limited radiative cooling under humid air masses and light winds, alongside minor model spread in the exact timing of any weak frontal influence or cloud cover. Historical June minimums average near 65°F, but current guidance shows warmer anomalies that keep sub-70°F outcomes at very low implied probabilities. Final National Weather Service observations will resolve the market once the overnight period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,307Дата завершення
Jun 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and global models indicate overnight lows in New York City on June 12 centered in the mid-70s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–77°F. This positioning reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions with limited radiative cooling under humid air masses and light winds, alongside minor model spread in the exact timing of any weak frontal influence or cloud cover. Historical June minimums average near 65°F, but current guidance shows warmer anomalies that keep sub-70°F outcomes at very low implied probabilities. Final National Weather Service observations will resolve the market once the overnight period concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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