Forecast models from the Met Office indicate London highs near 22–24°C on June 13, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds for those exact outcomes. Following an exceptional May heatwave that produced record temperatures above 34°C, a shift to more typical early-summer conditions has cooled expectations, with guidance showing modest diurnal warming under variable cloud and light winds. Key differentiating factors include the precise strength of any Atlantic front, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects at official stations, all of which can swing the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these narrow probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on June 13?
Highest temperature in London on June 13?
22°C 26%
23°C 24%
24°C 24%
21°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 13, 2026
19°C or below
6%
20°C
9%
21°C
11%
22°C
26%
23°C
24%
24°C
25%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
22°C 26%
23°C 24%
24°C 24%
21°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 13, 2026
19°C or below
$45 Обс.
6%
20°C
$6 Обс.
9%
21°C
$62 Обс.
11%
22°C
$94 Обс.
26%
23°C
$78 Обс.
24%
24°C
$45 Обс.
25%
25°C
$0 Обс.
4%
26°C
$0 Обс.
3%
27°C
$20 Обс.
2%
28°C
$318 Обс.
1%
29°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office indicate London highs near 22–24°C on June 13, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds for those exact outcomes. Following an exceptional May heatwave that produced record temperatures above 34°C, a shift to more typical early-summer conditions has cooled expectations, with guidance showing modest diurnal warming under variable cloud and light winds. Key differentiating factors include the precise strength of any Atlantic front, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects at official stations, all of which can swing the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these narrow probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$567Дата завершення
Jun 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office indicate London highs near 22–24°C on June 13, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds for those exact outcomes. Following an exceptional May heatwave that produced record temperatures above 34°C, a shift to more typical early-summer conditions has cooled expectations, with guidance showing modest diurnal warming under variable cloud and light winds. Key differentiating factors include the precise strength of any Atlantic front, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects at official stations, all of which can swing the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these narrow probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$567Дата завершення
Jun 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office indicate London highs near 22–24°C on June 13, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds for those exact outcomes. Following an exceptional May heatwave that produced record temperatures above 34°C, a shift to more typical early-summer conditions has cooled expectations, with guidance showing modest diurnal warming under variable cloud and light winds. Key differentiating factors include the precise strength of any Atlantic front, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects at official stations, all of which can swing the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these narrow probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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