Traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 90–95°F highs in Dallas on June 12 because official National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance cluster around 93–94°F under persistent southerly flow and upper-level ridging. Recent observations show above-normal temperatures and drought conditions enhancing daytime heating, while minor differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and exact wind speeds create the narrow spread between the leading bins. Historical June climatology supports peak values near 93°F, yet short-term variability in convective initiation could shave a degree or two if scattered clouds develop earlier than expected. Updated model runs and local mesonet data through tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on June 12?
Highest temperature in Dallas on June 12?
94-95°F 31%
92-93°F 30%
90-91°F 21%
88-89°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 12, 2026
85°F or below
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
21%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 31%
92-93°F 30%
90-91°F 21%
88-89°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 12, 2026
85°F or below
$166 Обс.
1%
86-87°F
$40 Обс.
2%
88-89°F
$217 Обс.
10%
90-91°F
$167 Обс.
21%
92-93°F
$136 Обс.
30%
94-95°F
$93 Обс.
31%
96-97°F
$288 Обс.
5%
98-99°F
$362 Обс.
3%
100-101°F
$460 Обс.
<1%
102-103°F
$112 Обс.
<1%
104°F or higher
$20 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 90–95°F highs in Dallas on June 12 because official National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance cluster around 93–94°F under persistent southerly flow and upper-level ridging. Recent observations show above-normal temperatures and drought conditions enhancing daytime heating, while minor differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and exact wind speeds create the narrow spread between the leading bins. Historical June climatology supports peak values near 93°F, yet short-term variability in convective initiation could shave a degree or two if scattered clouds develop earlier than expected. Updated model runs and local mesonet data through tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,865Дата завершення
Jun 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 90–95°F highs in Dallas on June 12 because official National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance cluster around 93–94°F under persistent southerly flow and upper-level ridging. Recent observations show above-normal temperatures and drought conditions enhancing daytime heating, while minor differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and exact wind speeds create the narrow spread between the leading bins. Historical June climatology supports peak values near 93°F, yet short-term variability in convective initiation could shave a degree or two if scattered clouds develop earlier than expected. Updated model runs and local mesonet data through tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,865Дата завершення
Jun 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 90–95°F highs in Dallas on June 12 because official National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance cluster around 93–94°F under persistent southerly flow and upper-level ridging. Recent observations show above-normal temperatures and drought conditions enhancing daytime heating, while minor differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and exact wind speeds create the narrow spread between the leading bins. Historical June climatology supports peak values near 93°F, yet short-term variability in convective initiation could shave a degree or two if scattered clouds develop earlier than expected. Updated model runs and local mesonet data through tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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