Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate daytime maxima near 35–37°C for Shenzhen on August 10, with 36°C carrying the highest market-implied probability at 35.5%. Subtropical summer conditions—high solar insolation, southeasterly monsoon flow, and urban heat-island effects—support these values, while variable cloud cover or scattered thunderstorms linked to Typhoon Dolphin’s distant influence could cap peaks near 34–35°C. Recent runs show modest model spread on timing of any rain bands, creating the close contest between 35°C (27.0%) and 36°C outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and historical August climatology (mean highs ~32–33°C) against the risk of clearer skies allowing brief exceedances to 37°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 10?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 10?
36°C 36%
35°C 27%
34°C 14%
37°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
14%
35°C
27%
36°C
36%
37°C
12%
38°C
6%
39°C or higher
5%
36°C 36%
35°C 27%
34°C 14%
37°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
29°C or below
$12 Обс.
1%
30°C
$0 Обс.
1%
31°C
$12 Обс.
1%
32°C
$22 Обс.
1%
33°C
$0 Обс.
6%
34°C
$2 Обс.
14%
35°C
$43 Обс.
27%
36°C
$29 Обс.
36%
37°C
$0 Обс.
12%
38°C
$0 Обс.
6%
39°C or higher
$95 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate daytime maxima near 35–37°C for Shenzhen on August 10, with 36°C carrying the highest market-implied probability at 35.5%. Subtropical summer conditions—high solar insolation, southeasterly monsoon flow, and urban heat-island effects—support these values, while variable cloud cover or scattered thunderstorms linked to Typhoon Dolphin’s distant influence could cap peaks near 34–35°C. Recent runs show modest model spread on timing of any rain bands, creating the close contest between 35°C (27.0%) and 36°C outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and historical August climatology (mean highs ~32–33°C) against the risk of clearer skies allowing brief exceedances to 37°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$215Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate daytime maxima near 35–37°C for Shenzhen on August 10, with 36°C carrying the highest market-implied probability at 35.5%. Subtropical summer conditions—high solar insolation, southeasterly monsoon flow, and urban heat-island effects—support these values, while variable cloud cover or scattered thunderstorms linked to Typhoon Dolphin’s distant influence could cap peaks near 34–35°C. Recent runs show modest model spread on timing of any rain bands, creating the close contest between 35°C (27.0%) and 36°C outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and historical August climatology (mean highs ~32–33°C) against the risk of clearer skies allowing brief exceedances to 37°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$215Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate daytime maxima near 35–37°C for Shenzhen on August 10, with 36°C carrying the highest market-implied probability at 35.5%. Subtropical summer conditions—high solar insolation, southeasterly monsoon flow, and urban heat-island effects—support these values, while variable cloud cover or scattered thunderstorms linked to Typhoon Dolphin’s distant influence could cap peaks near 34–35°C. Recent runs show modest model spread on timing of any rain bands, creating the close contest between 35°C (27.0%) and 36°C outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and historical August climatology (mean highs ~32–33°C) against the risk of clearer skies allowing brief exceedances to 37°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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