Recent official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada and short-term model guidance indicate a daytime high near 25–26°C in Toronto on August 20 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with limited convective activity and moderate northerly winds. These conditions align with late-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 24–25°C, supported by a stable high-pressure pattern rather than stronger advection of warmer air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds heavily favors 25°C (56%) and 26°C (30%), consistent with ensemble agreement on peak temperatures before any afternoon cooling. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover or localized heating could nudge outcomes slightly higher or lower, though probabilities for extremes remain negligible given current atmospheric stability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on August 20?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 20?
25°C 56%
26°C 30%
24°C 13%
27°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
13%
25°C
56%
26°C
30%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 56%
26°C 30%
24°C 13%
27°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
21°C or below
$455 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$114 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$487 Обс.
1%
24°C
$1,462 Обс.
13%
25°C
$1,532 Обс.
56%
26°C
$1,250 Обс.
30%
27°C
$786 Обс.
3%
28°C
$514 Обс.
1%
29°C
$316 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$235 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$25 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada and short-term model guidance indicate a daytime high near 25–26°C in Toronto on August 20 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with limited convective activity and moderate northerly winds. These conditions align with late-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 24–25°C, supported by a stable high-pressure pattern rather than stronger advection of warmer air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds heavily favors 25°C (56%) and 26°C (30%), consistent with ensemble agreement on peak temperatures before any afternoon cooling. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover or localized heating could nudge outcomes slightly higher or lower, though probabilities for extremes remain negligible given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,176Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada and short-term model guidance indicate a daytime high near 25–26°C in Toronto on August 20 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with limited convective activity and moderate northerly winds. These conditions align with late-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 24–25°C, supported by a stable high-pressure pattern rather than stronger advection of warmer air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds heavily favors 25°C (56%) and 26°C (30%), consistent with ensemble agreement on peak temperatures before any afternoon cooling. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover or localized heating could nudge outcomes slightly higher or lower, though probabilities for extremes remain negligible given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,176Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada and short-term model guidance indicate a daytime high near 25–26°C in Toronto on August 20 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with limited convective activity and moderate northerly winds. These conditions align with late-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 24–25°C, supported by a stable high-pressure pattern rather than stronger advection of warmer air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds heavily favors 25°C (56%) and 26°C (30%), consistent with ensemble agreement on peak temperatures before any afternoon cooling. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover or localized heating could nudge outcomes slightly higher or lower, though probabilities for extremes remain negligible given current atmospheric stability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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