**Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are driving Zhengzhou's September 5 high toward 31–32°C.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in official and commercial sources, show afternoon peaks of 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F) with minimal cloud cover, dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, and northeast to southwest winds under 12 km/h. This setup favors strong solar heating on a day when climatological September highs average near 27–28°C. Current observations confirm temperatures climbing through the upper 20s°C by mid-morning with low humidity supporting further warming. The market-implied odds—50% for 32°C or higher and 34.5% for exactly 31°C—align with this consensus while reflecting minor model spread and the possibility of a slightly cooler reading if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. No precipitation is expected to moderate the peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 5?
31°C 35%
30°C 18%
29°C 5%
22°C or below <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
16%
31°C
35%
32°C or higher
59%
31°C 35%
30°C 18%
29°C 5%
22°C or below <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
16%
31°C
35%
32°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are driving Zhengzhou's September 5 high toward 31–32°C.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in official and commercial sources, show afternoon peaks of 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F) with minimal cloud cover, dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, and northeast to southwest winds under 12 km/h. This setup favors strong solar heating on a day when climatological September highs average near 27–28°C. Current observations confirm temperatures climbing through the upper 20s°C by mid-morning with low humidity supporting further warming. The market-implied odds—50% for 32°C or higher and 34.5% for exactly 31°C—align with this consensus while reflecting minor model spread and the possibility of a slightly cooler reading if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. No precipitation is expected to moderate the peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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