Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15s+ handshake at 57.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, driven by historical precedent—their 27-second grip at last year's APEC summit in Busan—and Trump's signature firm, extended handshake style seen in prior diplomacy. Trump's arrival yesterday with CEOs like Elon Musk and Jensen Huang signals business-focused rapport amid trade war de-escalation efforts on tariffs, AI, and rare earths, reinforced by a warm reception from flag-waving Chinese students. Shorter durations (10–15s at 20%, 6–10s at 15.5%) reflect competitive uncertainty, while no-handshake (1.3%) remains improbable under bilateral protocol for the May 14–15 meetings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено15s+ 56%
10–15s 21%
6–10s 17%
2–6s 5.0%
$268,594 Обс.
$268,594 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
No Handshake
4%
<2s
1%
2–6s
5%
6–10s
17%
10–15s
21%
15s+
56%
Photographed only
3%
15s+ 56%
10–15s 21%
6–10s 17%
2–6s 5.0%
$268,594 Обс.
$268,594 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
No Handshake
$54,520 Обс.
4%
<2s
$41,094 Обс.
1%
2–6s
$42,247 Обс.
5%
6–10s
$20,385 Обс.
17%
10–15s
$20,440 Обс.
21%
15s+
$48,324 Обс.
56%
Photographed only
$41,743 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15s+ handshake at 57.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, driven by historical precedent—their 27-second grip at last year's APEC summit in Busan—and Trump's signature firm, extended handshake style seen in prior diplomacy. Trump's arrival yesterday with CEOs like Elon Musk and Jensen Huang signals business-focused rapport amid trade war de-escalation efforts on tariffs, AI, and rare earths, reinforced by a warm reception from flag-waving Chinese students. Shorter durations (10–15s at 20%, 6–10s at 15.5%) reflect competitive uncertainty, while no-handshake (1.3%) remains improbable under bilateral protocol for the May 14–15 meetings.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Обсяг
$268,594Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15s+ handshake at 57.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, driven by historical precedent—their 27-second grip at last year's APEC summit in Busan—and Trump's signature firm, extended handshake style seen in prior diplomacy. Trump's arrival yesterday with CEOs like Elon Musk and Jensen Huang signals business-focused rapport amid trade war de-escalation efforts on tariffs, AI, and rare earths, reinforced by a warm reception from flag-waving Chinese students. Shorter durations (10–15s at 20%, 6–10s at 15.5%) reflect competitive uncertainty, while no-handshake (1.3%) remains improbable under bilateral protocol for the May 14–15 meetings.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Обсяг
$268,594Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15s+ handshake at 57.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, driven by historical precedent—their 27-second grip at last year's APEC summit in Busan—and Trump's signature firm, extended handshake style seen in prior diplomacy. Trump's arrival yesterday with CEOs like Elon Musk and Jensen Huang signals business-focused rapport amid trade war de-escalation efforts on tariffs, AI, and rare earths, reinforced by a warm reception from flag-waving Chinese students. Shorter durations (10–15s at 20%, 6–10s at 15.5%) reflect competitive uncertainty, while no-handshake (1.3%) remains improbable under bilateral protocol for the May 14–15 meetings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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