President Trump's state visit to China, spanning May 13-15, concluded today with his confirmed departure from Beijing Capital International Airport aboard Air Force One following bilateral summit meetings with President Xi Jinping on trade, Iran policy, and reciprocal visits. Live footage and official White House scheduling captured the exit after a working lunch and departure ceremony, aligning precisely with the published itinerary originally set after a delay from April due to Middle East tensions. Trader consensus at near-certainty for May 15 reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of real-time diplomatic timelines, though slim odds persist for disruptions like flight delays, health events, or unscheduled extensions amid ongoing U.S.-China talks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhen will Trump leave China?
When will Trump leave China?
May 15 100.0%
Before May 13 <1%
May 13 <1%
May 14 <1%
$1,517,348 Обс.
$1,517,348 Обс.
May 20, 2026
Before May 13
No
May 13
No
May 14
No
May 15
Yes
May 16
No
May 17
No
May 18
No
After May 18
No
No visit by May 18
No
May 15 100.0%
Before May 13 <1%
May 13 <1%
May 14 <1%
$1,517,348 Обс.
$1,517,348 Обс.
May 20, 2026
Before May 13
$8,448 Обс.
No
May 13
$8,390 Обс.
No
May 14
$51,009 Обс.
No
May 15
$110,236 Обс.
Yes
May 16
$52,534 Обс.
No
May 17
$12,104 Обс.
No
May 18
$3,024 Обс.
No
After May 18
$1,270,452 Обс.
No
No visit by May 18
$1,152 Обс.
No
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's state visit to China, spanning May 13-15, concluded today with his confirmed departure from Beijing Capital International Airport aboard Air Force One following bilateral summit meetings with President Xi Jinping on trade, Iran policy, and reciprocal visits. Live footage and official White House scheduling captured the exit after a working lunch and departure ceremony, aligning precisely with the published itinerary originally set after a delay from April due to Middle East tensions. Trader consensus at near-certainty for May 15 reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of real-time diplomatic timelines, though slim odds persist for disruptions like flight delays, health events, or unscheduled extensions amid ongoing U.S.-China talks.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,517,348Дата завершення
May 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's state visit to China, spanning May 13-15, concluded today with his confirmed departure from Beijing Capital International Airport aboard Air Force One following bilateral summit meetings with President Xi Jinping on trade, Iran policy, and reciprocal visits. Live footage and official White House scheduling captured the exit after a working lunch and departure ceremony, aligning precisely with the published itinerary originally set after a delay from April due to Middle East tensions. Trader consensus at near-certainty for May 15 reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of real-time diplomatic timelines, though slim odds persist for disruptions like flight delays, health events, or unscheduled extensions amid ongoing U.S.-China talks.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,517,348Дата завершення
May 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
President Trump's state visit to China, spanning May 13-15, concluded today with his confirmed departure from Beijing Capital International Airport aboard Air Force One following bilateral summit meetings with President Xi Jinping on trade, Iran policy, and reciprocal visits. Live footage and official White House scheduling captured the exit after a working lunch and departure ceremony, aligning precisely with the published itinerary originally set after a delay from April due to Middle East tensions. Trader consensus at near-certainty for May 15 reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of real-time diplomatic timelines, though slim odds persist for disruptions like flight delays, health events, or unscheduled extensions amid ongoing U.S.-China talks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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