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icon for IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

icon for IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

$348,717 Обс.

Oct 31, 2026
Polymarket

$348,717 Обс.

Polymarket

August 31

$52,844 Обс.

1%

October 31

$77,203 Обс.

15%

December 31

$25,347 Обс.

22%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.**IAEA access to Iran's struck enrichment and conversion facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan remains limited as of mid-August 2026.** US and Israeli strikes in June 2025 heavily damaged aboveground structures at Natanz and Isfahan while impacting Fordow's underground halls; inspectors were withdrawn for safety and Iran curtailed cooperation, leaving the Agency unable to verify the status of enriched uranium stockpiles or post-strike activities at the affected sites. An interim US-Iran memorandum in June 2026 explicitly requires IAEA supervision for certain nuclear activities, including dilution of highly enriched material. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi confirmed that visits to the enrichment sites would occur under the accord, with modalities, dates, and procedures under discussion, though Iran has tied full access to completion of a final agreement. The IAEA Board adopted a June 2026 resolution urging greater cooperation, and inspectors have resumed work at unaffected locations such as Bushehr. Satellite imagery continues to show limited activity or concealment measures at the three sites, while Iran has not yet facilitated the requested design information verification or inventory checks at Isfahan's tunnel complex. Upcoming diplomatic milestones, including further Vienna talks or Board sessions, could determine whether access expands before any market resolution window, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over the pace of verification amid ongoing negotiations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.

IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.

A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$348,717
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.**IAEA access to Iran's struck enrichment and conversion facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan remains limited as of mid-August 2026.** US and Israeli strikes in June 2025 heavily damaged aboveground structures at Natanz and Isfahan while impacting Fordow's underground halls; inspectors were withdrawn for safety and Iran curtailed cooperation, leaving the Agency unable to verify the status of enriched uranium stockpiles or post-strike activities at the affected sites. An interim US-Iran memorandum in June 2026 explicitly requires IAEA supervision for certain nuclear activities, including dilution of highly enriched material. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi confirmed that visits to the enrichment sites would occur under the accord, with modalities, dates, and procedures under discussion, though Iran has tied full access to completion of a final agreement. The IAEA Board adopted a June 2026 resolution urging greater cooperation, and inspectors have resumed work at unaffected locations such as Bushehr. Satellite imagery continues to show limited activity or concealment measures at the three sites, while Iran has not yet facilitated the requested design information verification or inventory checks at Isfahan's tunnel complex. Upcoming diplomatic milestones, including further Vienna talks or Board sessions, could determine whether access expands before any market resolution window, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over the pace of verification amid ongoing negotiations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.

IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.

A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$348,717
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «December 31» з 22%, далі «October 31» з 14%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?» згенерував $348.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 24, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?» — «December 31» з 22%. Наступний — «October 31» з 14%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.