Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba as successor in early March amid an interim leadership council. Mojtaba has maintained the position through mid-2026 despite persistent reports of injuries sustained in the attack and recurring health rumors, including August 2026 claims of critical condition that Iranian officials and President Masoud Pezeshkian have publicly dismissed. Related Polymarket pricing reflects trader consensus around regime continuity, with high implied probability of Mojtaba remaining head of state through year-end 2026. Key variables include the trajectory of the ongoing conflict, any verified shifts in Mojtaba’s public role or condition, and potential internal power realignments within the Revolutionary Guard or clerical institutions before mid-2027 resolution windows.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$23,621,848 Обс.
Jun 30, 2027
August 22
<1%
August 31
1%
September 30
5%
October 31
8%
November 30
10%
31 грудня
17%
June 30, 2027
26%
$23,621,848 Обс.
August 22
$59,996 Обс.
<1%
August 31
$1,184,839 Обс.
1%
September 30
$465,118 Обс.
5%
October 31
$15,071 Обс.
8%
November 30
$13,797 Обс.
10%
31 грудня
$4,033,618 Обс.
17%
June 30, 2027
$241,217 Обс.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba as successor in early March amid an interim leadership council. Mojtaba has maintained the position through mid-2026 despite persistent reports of injuries sustained in the attack and recurring health rumors, including August 2026 claims of critical condition that Iranian officials and President Masoud Pezeshkian have publicly dismissed. Related Polymarket pricing reflects trader consensus around regime continuity, with high implied probability of Mojtaba remaining head of state through year-end 2026. Key variables include the trajectory of the ongoing conflict, any verified shifts in Mojtaba’s public role or condition, and potential internal power realignments within the Revolutionary Guard or clerical institutions before mid-2027 resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Обсяг
$23,621,848Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba as successor in early March amid an interim leadership council. Mojtaba has maintained the position through mid-2026 despite persistent reports of injuries sustained in the attack and recurring health rumors, including August 2026 claims of critical condition that Iranian officials and President Masoud Pezeshkian have publicly dismissed. Related Polymarket pricing reflects trader consensus around regime continuity, with high implied probability of Mojtaba remaining head of state through year-end 2026. Key variables include the trajectory of the ongoing conflict, any verified shifts in Mojtaba’s public role or condition, and potential internal power realignments within the Revolutionary Guard or clerical institutions before mid-2027 resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$23,621,848Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba as successor in early March amid an interim leadership council. Mojtaba has maintained the position through mid-2026 despite persistent reports of injuries sustained in the attack and recurring health rumors, including August 2026 claims of critical condition that Iranian officials and President Masoud Pezeshkian have publicly dismissed. Related Polymarket pricing reflects trader consensus around regime continuity, with high implied probability of Mojtaba remaining head of state through year-end 2026. Key variables include the trajectory of the ongoing conflict, any verified shifts in Mojtaba’s public role or condition, and potential internal power realignments within the Revolutionary Guard or clerical institutions before mid-2027 resolution windows.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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