US-mediated trilateral talks between Israel and Lebanon, the first high-level direct engagement since 1993, opened in Washington in April 2026 with subsequent rounds addressing ceasefire terms, border security, and Hezbollah disarmament. The fourth round on June 2-3 produced a conditional ceasefire agreement contingent on Hezbollah's full cessation of fire and withdrawal from southern zones, alongside plans to reconvene the week of June 22 for comprehensive negotiations. Hezbollah, excluded from the process, has rejected key elements, while sporadic violations and Israeli operations continue amid broader regional tensions. These developments shape trader assessments of further diplomatic meetings by highlighting both incremental US-driven progress and persistent obstacles tied to non-state actors and enforcement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
$11,043 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
June 15
7%
June 22
70%
June 30
90%
$11,043 Обс.
June 15
$131 Обс.
7%
June 22
$4,262 Обс.
70%
June 30
$6,649 Обс.
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated trilateral talks between Israel and Lebanon, the first high-level direct engagement since 1993, opened in Washington in April 2026 with subsequent rounds addressing ceasefire terms, border security, and Hezbollah disarmament. The fourth round on June 2-3 produced a conditional ceasefire agreement contingent on Hezbollah's full cessation of fire and withdrawal from southern zones, alongside plans to reconvene the week of June 22 for comprehensive negotiations. Hezbollah, excluded from the process, has rejected key elements, while sporadic violations and Israeli operations continue amid broader regional tensions. These developments shape trader assessments of further diplomatic meetings by highlighting both incremental US-driven progress and persistent obstacles tied to non-state actors and enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,043Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated trilateral talks between Israel and Lebanon, the first high-level direct engagement since 1993, opened in Washington in April 2026 with subsequent rounds addressing ceasefire terms, border security, and Hezbollah disarmament. The fourth round on June 2-3 produced a conditional ceasefire agreement contingent on Hezbollah's full cessation of fire and withdrawal from southern zones, alongside plans to reconvene the week of June 22 for comprehensive negotiations. Hezbollah, excluded from the process, has rejected key elements, while sporadic violations and Israeli operations continue amid broader regional tensions. These developments shape trader assessments of further diplomatic meetings by highlighting both incremental US-driven progress and persistent obstacles tied to non-state actors and enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$11,043Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated trilateral talks between Israel and Lebanon, the first high-level direct engagement since 1993, opened in Washington in April 2026 with subsequent rounds addressing ceasefire terms, border security, and Hezbollah disarmament. The fourth round on June 2-3 produced a conditional ceasefire agreement contingent on Hezbollah's full cessation of fire and withdrawal from southern zones, alongside plans to reconvene the week of June 22 for comprehensive negotiations. Hezbollah, excluded from the process, has rejected key elements, while sporadic violations and Israeli operations continue amid broader regional tensions. These developments shape trader assessments of further diplomatic meetings by highlighting both incremental US-driven progress and persistent obstacles tied to non-state actors and enforcement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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