Skip to main content
icon for Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 червня?
Світ·Близький Схід

Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 червня?

icon for Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 червня?
Світ·Близький Схід

Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 червня?

May 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

May 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Так

27% шанс
Polymarket

$1,836,763 Обс.

Так

27% шанс
Polymarket

$1,836,763 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30 at just 26.5% ("Yes"), reflecting persistent diplomatic stalemates despite intermittent progress claims. Vice President JD Vance stated on May 13 that negotiations are advancing toward ending hostilities and addressing Iran's nuclear program, but Iranian officials countered that no breakthroughs have occurred, echoing April's failed 21-hour Islamabad talks mediated by Pakistan where Tehran rejected Washington's "final" proposal demanding a 12-15 year uranium enrichment moratorium. Key gaps remain over upfront nuclear concessions versus Iran's priority for sanctions relief and a permanent Strait of Hormuz ceasefire first, amid mutual distrust from prior JCPOA breakdowns. With six weeks left, historical negotiation failures and rigid positions underpin the heavy "No" favoritism.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Обсяг
$1,836,763
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30 at just 26.5% ("Yes"), reflecting persistent diplomatic stalemates despite intermittent progress claims. Vice President JD Vance stated on May 13 that negotiations are advancing toward ending hostilities and addressing Iran's nuclear program, but Iranian officials countered that no breakthroughs have occurred, echoing April's failed 21-hour Islamabad talks mediated by Pakistan where Tehran rejected Washington's "final" proposal demanding a 12-15 year uranium enrichment moratorium. Key gaps remain over upfront nuclear concessions versus Iran's priority for sanctions relief and a permanent Strait of Hormuz ceasefire first, amid mutual distrust from prior JCPOA breakdowns. With six weeks left, historical negotiation failures and rigid positions underpin the heavy "No" favoritism.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Обсяг
$1,836,763
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 червня?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 червня?» з 27%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 червня?» згенерував $1.8 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 17, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 червня?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 червня?» — «Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 червня?» з 27%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 червня?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.