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icon for Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

icon for Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

5% шанс
Polymarket

$69,462 Обс.

5% шанс
Polymarket

$69,462 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lai Ching-te assumed Taiwan’s presidency in May 2024 following his 2024 election victory and serves a fixed four-year term extending into 2028. As of mid-2026 he remains in office and continues to conduct official duties, including public addresses on cross-strait stability and participation in international forums. An opposition-led impeachment motion advanced through the Legislative Yuan in late 2025 but failed to reach the required two-thirds supermajority when put to a final vote in May 2026. No verified developments involving resignation, health-related incapacity, or other removal mechanisms have occurred. The high trader probability on “No” aligns with these institutional safeguards, the absence of successful legislative or other formal challenges to date, and the structural timeline that places the next scheduled presidential election after the market’s December 2026 resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$69,462
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lai Ching-te assumed Taiwan’s presidency in May 2024 following his 2024 election victory and serves a fixed four-year term extending into 2028. As of mid-2026 he remains in office and continues to conduct official duties, including public addresses on cross-strait stability and participation in international forums. An opposition-led impeachment motion advanced through the Legislative Yuan in late 2025 but failed to reach the required two-thirds supermajority when put to a final vote in May 2026. No verified developments involving resignation, health-related incapacity, or other removal mechanisms have occurred. The high trader probability on “No” aligns with these institutional safeguards, the absence of successful legislative or other formal challenges to date, and the structural timeline that places the next scheduled presidential election after the market’s December 2026 resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$69,462
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 5% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 5¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 5%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?» згенерував $69.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 7, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?» — 5% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 5% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.