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icon for Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

icon for Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

$124,459 Обс.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$124,459 Обс.

Polymarket

June 30

$121,512 Обс.

3%

December 31

$2,947 Обс.

17%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's premier serves at the discretion of President Lai Ching-te within the Democratic Progressive Party government, with no fixed term but subject to legislative pressures and cabinet reshuffles. As of mid-May 2026, Cho Jung-tai remains fully engaged in executive duties, including presenting the central budget to the Legislative Yuan for committee review in late April, delivering policy reports, and advancing 2026 initiatives on defense spending, economic growth, and public benefits such as minimum wage increases. Ongoing partisan gridlock with the opposition Kuomintang over special budgets and military procurement has created friction but produced no credible signals of imminent resignation or forced exit. Trader pricing reflects this stability, assigning only modest implied probability to departure by year-end absent a major diplomatic crisis, health event, or presidential decision.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$124,459
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's premier serves at the discretion of President Lai Ching-te within the Democratic Progressive Party government, with no fixed term but subject to legislative pressures and cabinet reshuffles. As of mid-May 2026, Cho Jung-tai remains fully engaged in executive duties, including presenting the central budget to the Legislative Yuan for committee review in late April, delivering policy reports, and advancing 2026 initiatives on defense spending, economic growth, and public benefits such as minimum wage increases. Ongoing partisan gridlock with the opposition Kuomintang over special budgets and military procurement has created friction but produced no credible signals of imminent resignation or forced exit. Trader pricing reflects this stability, assigning only modest implied probability to departure by year-end absent a major diplomatic crisis, health event, or presidential decision.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$124,459
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «December 31» з 17%, далі «June 30» з 3%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?» згенерував $124.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 13, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?» — «December 31» з 17%. Наступний — «June 30» з 3%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.