President Lee Jae-myung's constitutional immunity as South Korea's sitting leader shields him from arrest on prior corruption charges, including Daejang-dong development graft and Ssangbangwool North Korea remittances, suspending ongoing trials since his June 2025 inauguration. Traders' 84.7% "No" consensus reflects this structural barrier, reinforced by recent May 2026 debates over a special counsel bill—criticized by the People Power Party as a potential "self-pardon"—that could nullify pre-presidency indictments without advancing prosecution. No new arrest warrants or court escalations have emerged in the past month, amid local elections and opposition probes into prosecutors, lowering "Yes" odds from 24% to 15% in early May amid perceived political entrenchment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
$312,531 Обс.
$312,531 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$312,531 Обс.
$312,531 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung's constitutional immunity as South Korea's sitting leader shields him from arrest on prior corruption charges, including Daejang-dong development graft and Ssangbangwool North Korea remittances, suspending ongoing trials since his June 2025 inauguration. Traders' 84.7% "No" consensus reflects this structural barrier, reinforced by recent May 2026 debates over a special counsel bill—criticized by the People Power Party as a potential "self-pardon"—that could nullify pre-presidency indictments without advancing prosecution. No new arrest warrants or court escalations have emerged in the past month, amid local elections and opposition probes into prosecutors, lowering "Yes" odds from 24% to 15% in early May amid perceived political entrenchment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Обсяг
$312,531Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung's constitutional immunity as South Korea's sitting leader shields him from arrest on prior corruption charges, including Daejang-dong development graft and Ssangbangwool North Korea remittances, suspending ongoing trials since his June 2025 inauguration. Traders' 84.7% "No" consensus reflects this structural barrier, reinforced by recent May 2026 debates over a special counsel bill—criticized by the People Power Party as a potential "self-pardon"—that could nullify pre-presidency indictments without advancing prosecution. No new arrest warrants or court escalations have emerged in the past month, amid local elections and opposition probes into prosecutors, lowering "Yes" odds from 24% to 15% in early May amid perceived political entrenchment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$312,531Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung's constitutional immunity as South Korea's sitting leader shields him from arrest on prior corruption charges, including Daejang-dong development graft and Ssangbangwool North Korea remittances, suspending ongoing trials since his June 2025 inauguration. Traders' 84.7% "No" consensus reflects this structural barrier, reinforced by recent May 2026 debates over a special counsel bill—criticized by the People Power Party as a potential "self-pardon"—that could nullify pre-presidency indictments without advancing prosecution. No new arrest warrants or court escalations have emerged in the past month, amid local elections and opposition probes into prosecutors, lowering "Yes" odds from 24% to 15% in early May amid perceived political entrenchment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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