South Korea President Lee Jae-myung, elected in June 2025 following the National Assembly’s impeachment and Constitutional Court removal of Yoon Suk-yeol, benefits from Democratic Party control of a legislative supermajority that blocks any realistic path to the two-thirds vote required for impeachment proceedings. Local elections in June 2026 reinforced this position, with the ruling party securing most metropolitan and gubernatorial races despite modest approval-rating softening afterward. A June 2026 opposition petition demanding impeachment quickly surpassed signature thresholds yet stalled without referral to a plenary vote, underscoring the structural barrier. No major new legislative defections, court rulings, or scandals have altered the balance since the president took office, leaving trader consensus at 93.8 percent for “No” through 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
6% шанс
$19,133 Обс.
$19,133 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
6% шанс
$19,133 Обс.
$19,133 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea President Lee Jae-myung, elected in June 2025 following the National Assembly’s impeachment and Constitutional Court removal of Yoon Suk-yeol, benefits from Democratic Party control of a legislative supermajority that blocks any realistic path to the two-thirds vote required for impeachment proceedings. Local elections in June 2026 reinforced this position, with the ruling party securing most metropolitan and gubernatorial races despite modest approval-rating softening afterward. A June 2026 opposition petition demanding impeachment quickly surpassed signature thresholds yet stalled without referral to a plenary vote, underscoring the structural barrier. No major new legislative defections, court rulings, or scandals have altered the balance since the president took office, leaving trader consensus at 93.8 percent for “No” through 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$19,133Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea President Lee Jae-myung, elected in June 2025 following the National Assembly’s impeachment and Constitutional Court removal of Yoon Suk-yeol, benefits from Democratic Party control of a legislative supermajority that blocks any realistic path to the two-thirds vote required for impeachment proceedings. Local elections in June 2026 reinforced this position, with the ruling party securing most metropolitan and gubernatorial races despite modest approval-rating softening afterward. A June 2026 opposition petition demanding impeachment quickly surpassed signature thresholds yet stalled without referral to a plenary vote, underscoring the structural barrier. No major new legislative defections, court rulings, or scandals have altered the balance since the president took office, leaving trader consensus at 93.8 percent for “No” through 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$19,133Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea President Lee Jae-myung, elected in June 2025 following the National Assembly’s impeachment and Constitutional Court removal of Yoon Suk-yeol, benefits from Democratic Party control of a legislative supermajority that blocks any realistic path to the two-thirds vote required for impeachment proceedings. Local elections in June 2026 reinforced this position, with the ruling party securing most metropolitan and gubernatorial races despite modest approval-rating softening afterward. A June 2026 opposition petition demanding impeachment quickly surpassed signature thresholds yet stalled without referral to a plenary vote, underscoring the structural barrier. No major new legislative defections, court rulings, or scandals have altered the balance since the president took office, leaving trader consensus at 93.8 percent for “No” through 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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