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Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

icon for Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

6% шанс
Polymarket

$19,133 Обс.

6% шанс
Polymarket

$19,133 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, making any impeachment vote structurally improbable before the end of 2026.** Impeachment requires a two-thirds Assembly majority followed by Constitutional Court confirmation; with the ruling party controlling the legislature, opposition parties lack the votes to advance proceedings. A June 2026 citizen petition demanding impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee and was not referred to a plenary vote. Lee’s approval ratings have declined from the mid-60s to the mid-to-low 40s amid local election controversies, ballot shortages, and real estate policy debates, yet these shifts have not produced cross-party consensus or legislative momentum against him. His term runs through 2030 with no scheduled elections or constitutional triggers in the interim, reinforcing trader consensus that removal via impeachment remains unlikely absent a major unforeseen crisis.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$19,133
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, making any impeachment vote structurally improbable before the end of 2026.** Impeachment requires a two-thirds Assembly majority followed by Constitutional Court confirmation; with the ruling party controlling the legislature, opposition parties lack the votes to advance proceedings. A June 2026 citizen petition demanding impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee and was not referred to a plenary vote. Lee’s approval ratings have declined from the mid-60s to the mid-to-low 40s amid local election controversies, ballot shortages, and real estate policy debates, yet these shifts have not produced cross-party consensus or legislative momentum against him. His term runs through 2030 with no scheduled elections or constitutional triggers in the interim, reinforcing trader consensus that removal via impeachment remains unlikely absent a major unforeseen crisis.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$19,133
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 6% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 6¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 6%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?» згенерував $19.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 5, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?» — 6% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 6% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

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